Publications
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
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1 - 15 of 11423 publications
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This article delves into how Google Site Reliability Engineers (SREs) leverage Gemini 3 and the Gemini CLI to aggressively reduce Mean Time to Mitigation (MTTM) during real-world outages. By focusing on the SRE motto of "Eliminate Toil," the article walks through a simulated incident, demonstrating how an agentic CLI acts as a human-in-the-loop copilot across the entire incident lifecycle: from initial paging and investigation, through safe, tool-driven mitigation and root cause analysis, to automated postmortem generation and action item filing. This direct integration of Gemini's reasoning capabilities with operational data and internal tools creates a virtuous cycle where past incident learnings continuously inform and improve future solutions.
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We study machine unlearning in large generative models by framing the task as likelihood-ratio estimation rather than supervised fine-tuning. While classifier guidance is a standard approach for approximating the target density ratio and can succeed in general, we show it can fail to faithfully unlearn with finite samples when the forget set represents a sharp, concentrated data distribution. To address this, we introduce \textbf{Temper-Then-Tilt Unlearning (\alg)}, which freezes the base model and applies a two-step inference procedure: (i) \textit{tempering} the base distribution to flatten high-confidence spikes, and (ii) \textit{tilting} the tempered distribution using a lightweight classifier trained to distinguish retain from forget samples. Our theoretical analysis provides finite-sample guarantees linking the surrogate classifier's risk to unlearning quality, proving that tempering is necessary to successfully unlearn for concentrated distributions. Empirical evaluations on the TOFU benchmark demonstrate that \alg improves forget quality and generative utility over existing baselines, while training only a fraction of the parameters with a minimal runtime.
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We introduce a new context-enriched time series forecasting benchmark TimesX. TimesX contains a wide selection of high-quality real-world time series and diverse textual contexts from an automated generating pipeline, which helps address three main issues of existing benchmarks: (1) poor generalization due to low data volume and data being synthetic, (2) restricted forms of context, and (3) an inability to mitigate data leakage. We conduct a thorough empirical study of current multimodal solutions on TimesX. Our results suggest that most multimodal solutions that work well on existing benchmarks may fail on TimesX. In contrast, simple ensemble methods that leverage the rich textual context can outperform strong unimodal baselines and other multimodal baselines.
** Below this is what was submitted to ITP. **
We create a real world multimodal time-series forecasting benchmark that encompasses diverse domains and regions. Each time-series is annotated by various kinds of contexts like metadata, date and holiday information, dynamic events related to the time-series. This is sufficiently more advanced than other available benchmarks which rely wither on static metadata alone or synthetic examples. This forms a test bed for multimodal forecasting. We also present some baseline results showing that ensembles of publicly available LLMs and time-series foundation models can demonstrate non-trivial performance on this bechmark.
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An AI system to help scientists write expert-level empirical software
Eser Aygün
Anastasiya Belyaeva
Gheorghe Comanici
Hao Cui
Renee Johnston
Zahra Shamsi
David Smalling
James Thompson
Sarah Martinson
Lai Wei
Yuchen Zhou
Qian-Ze Zhu
Matthew Abraham
Erica Brand
Anna Bulanova
Jeffrey Cardille
Chris Co
Scott Ellsworth
Grace Joseph
Malcolm Kane
Ryan Krueger
Johan Kartiwa
Jackson Cui
Paul Raccuglia
Julie Wang
Kat Chou
James Manyika
Lizzie Dorfman
Shibl Mourad
Nature (2026)
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The cycle of scientific discovery is frequently bottlenecked by the slow, manual creation of software to support computational experiments. To address this, we present Empirical Research Assistance (ERA), an AI system that creates expert-level scientific software whose goal is to maximize a quality metric. The system uses a Large Language Model (LLM) and Tree Search (TS) to systematically improve the quality metric and intelligently navigate the large space of possible solutions. ERA achieves expert-level results when it explores and integrates complex research ideas from external sources. The effectiveness of tree search is demonstrated across a diverse range of tasks. In bioinformatics, ERA discovered 40 novel methods for single-cell data analysis that outperformed the top human-developed methods on a public leaderboard. In epidemiology, ERA generated 14 models that outperformed the CDC ensemble and all other individual models for forecasting COVID-19 hospitalizations. ERA also produced expert-level software for geospatial analysis, neural activity prediction in zebrafish, and numerical solution of integrals, and a novel rule-based construction for time series forecasting. By devising and implementing novel solutions to diverse tasks, ERA represents a significant step towards accelerating scientific progress.
Keywords: Tree Search, Generative AI, Scorable Scientific Tasks, Empirical Software
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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as economic agents in marketplaces, auctions, and bidding settings. Anticipating their behavior in any specific deployment is hard. Existing strategic-reasoning benchmarks evaluate models on fixed canonical games. These benchmarks may saturate as the frontier improves, and they do not allow evaluators to generalize with confidence from benchmark performance to the varied and messy strategic environments that actual deployments involve. We introduce GENSTRAT, which uses procedurally generated strategic environments to address these challenges. Concretely, we generate a distribution of two-player zero-sum imperfect-information card games. The generator can draw fresh games on demand, allowing for evergreen evaluation and resistance to contamination. We pair the game distribution with a capability-profile methodology that decomposes model competence across six axes (state space, temporal depth, information sensitivity, opponent modeling, risk, and brittleness). We also introduce a jaggedness measure of within-distribution smoothness that detects when a model’s advantage jumps unpredictably between strategically similar games. We sample 50 benchmark games from a 2,000-game generated pool and evaluate nine frontier and open-weight LLMs in a head-to-head tournament with over 36,000 matches. Newer frontier-tier models score higher on average. Beyond that average, models with near-identical overall strength show qualitatively different capability profiles, and two of the top three leaderboard models (gpt-5 and claude) are noticeably more locally volatile than the third (gemini-3.1-pro), despite being close in overall strength. Together, the capability profile and the jaggedness measure give a deployment-relevant diagnostic that the overall ranking alone cannot provide.
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Rank aggregation is a task of combining the rankings of items from multiple users into a single ranking that best represents the users' rankings. Alabi et al. (AAAI'22) presents differentially-private (DP) polynomial-time approximation schemes (PTASes) and 5-approximation algorithms with certain additive errors for the Kemeny rank aggregation problem in both central and local models. In this paper, we present improved DP PTASes with smaller additive error in the central model. Furthermore, we are first to study the footrule rank aggregation problem under DP. We give a near-optimal algorithm for this problem; as a corollary, this leads to 2-approximation algorithms with the same additive error as the 5-approximation algorithms of Alabi et al. for the Kemeny rank aggregation problem in both central and local models.
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Type-Aware Ranking of Urban Similarity from Aerial Imagery
Idan Kligvasser
Yotam Intrator
Yuval Desheh
Aviad Barzilai
Niv Efron
Ehud Rivlin
Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Winter Conference on Applications of Computer Vision (WACV) Workshops (2026), pp. 821-829
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Estimating and ranking cross-city similarity from aerial imagery is a fundamental challenge in remote sensing and geospatial representation learning. Urban environments differ widely in road layout, marking conventions, and infrastructure design, yet standard visual representations often struggle to disentangle these meaningful structural variations from superficial appearances. In this work, we propose a type-aware contrastive learning framework that measures urban similarity by explicitly modeling distinct infrastructure elements. Leveraging open-vocabulary retrieval, we construct a globally diverse dataset of road-related features, such as intersections, crosswalks, and bus lanes, and train a type-conditioned Vision Transformer that fuses visual features with CLIP-derived semantic embeddings. Crucially, we introduce an adaptive per-type contrastive loss that dynamically emphasizes infrastructure categories with high discriminative power while down-weighting less informative types. To quantify city-level similarity, we aggregate per-type cosine similarities via a lightweight classifier to generate a global city-to-city similarity matrix. Experiments demonstrate that this type-aware approach significantly improves clustering quality and successfully generalizes to unseen cities, establishing a scalable, interpretable foundation for comparative urban analysis.
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Beyond Tsybakov: Model Margin Noise and H-Consistency Bounds
The Nineteenth International Symposium on Artificial Intelligence and Mathematics (ISAIM 2026)
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We introduce a new low-noise condition for classification, the *Model Margin Noise (MM noise)* assumption, and derive enhanced $H$-consistency bounds under this condition. MM noise is *weaker* than Tsybakov noise condition: it is implied by Tsybakov noise condition but can hold even when Tsybakov fails, because it depends on the discrepancy between a given hypothesis and the Bayes-classifier rather than on the intrinsic distributional minimal margin (see Figure 1 for an illustration of an explicit example). This hypothesis-dependent assumption yields enhanced $H$-consistency bounds for both binary and multi-class classification. Our results extend the enhanced $H$-consistency bounds of Mao, Mohri, and Zhong (2025a) with the same favorable exponents but under a weaker assumption than the Tsybakov noise condition; they interpolate smoothly between linear and square-root regimes for intermediate noise levels. We also instantiate these bounds for common surrogate loss families and provide illustrative tables.
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Can AI systems be aligned to human values? The popularization of large language models (LLMs) and multi-modal foundation models
has seen a commensurate rise in ways these models cause harm, spanning areas from toxic speech and hallucinations to AI agents
executing unauthorized actions. Given that these models are probabilistic and general-purpose by nature, it is impossible to enumerate
all possible uses and outputs of the model to reach a fully aligned end state. Within the field of AI safety, these harmful instances are
often framed as “the alignment problem,” of models being “misaligned” with human values. Researchers have responded by pursuing
applied and theoretical AI “value alignment” efforts, often without specifying what they mean by human values. How does the field of
AI value alignment conceive of human values? How are these conceptions of values technically operationalized and evaluated? What
does the emergent theory of value from this field signify for the future of AI?
The study of human values has long been part of many academic disciplines outside of computer science, yet these disciplines
are seldom consulted in AI alignment. Building on the theoretical insights of Zhi-Xuan’s (2024) "preferentist paradigm" critique, we
conduct a review of influential AI alignment literature. We also draw from conceptions of human values from philosophy, anthropology,
and sociology, to create an analytical schema. We annotated 94 AI value alignment research papers to discern their implicit theory of
values in AI. The majority do not define values, relying heavily on “preferences” as a stand-in that runs the risk of reducing complex,
culturally situated concepts down to binary choices. As researchers dispense with using human annotators for model training and
evaluation, turning instead to synthetic data and LLM-as-a-judge approaches to aligning and evaluating models, we identify the
potential to close off alternative methods for contesting and enacting values in foundation models. Overall, value alignment is often
reduced to an exercise in utility maximization, which we argue abstracts human values away from their lived context. In making AI
value alignment’s philosophical commitments explicit, we seek to bring greater specificity and under-explored perspectives into the
debate on whether and how AI can address human values
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When managing complex, unpredictable (non-deterministic) AI agents using simple, fixed control systems (like finite state machines), operational failures and accountability issues often arise. This document introduces a probabilistic governance and telemetry framework to resolve these problems. Instead of following a rigid sequence of steps, this framework defines a multi-dimensional operational boundary, a 'behavioral volume', and assigns the agent a goal. This allows the agent to use its own reasoning to achieve the goal while remaining within the defined boundaries. A separate telemetry layer monitors the agent's actions by calculating metrics, such as alignment scores and drift velocity, to measure how much the agent deviates from its intended behavior. This system provides a method for guiding, monitoring, and securing autonomous agents, effectively managing the performance and security of an unpredictable AI workforce in complex environments.
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Towards Expert-level Medical AI for Real-time Video Consultations
Mahvish Nagda
Jihyeon Lee
Matthew Thompson
CJ Park
Tim Strother
Roma Ruparel
Teya Bergamaschi
Suhana Bedi
Meet Shah
Pavel Dubov
Toshiyuki Fukuzawa
Sam Schmidgall
Craig Schiff
Joseph Xu
Aliya Rysbek
Yana Lunts
Jan Freyberg
Rebecca Hemenway
Sunny Virmani
David Racz
Carey Radebaugh
Joelle Barral
Kavi Goel
Kat Chou
James Manyika
Gregory Wayne
Yun Liu
Ethan Goh
Christina Chen
Ryutaro Tanno
arXiv, Google (2026)
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Audio-visual interaction is the standard for patient-physician consultations, enabling natural communication and effective assessment of illness through non-verbal cues. While text-based AI has shown promise, it discards essential perceptual dimensions and limits patients who cannot articulate symptoms in writing. Early efforts to extend medical AI to audio-visual interaction have demonstrated feasibility, but not reached clinician-level performance. Here, we provide the first demonstration of expert-level AI in real-time clinical video consultations using AMIE (Articulate Medical Intelligence Explorer) in a video configuration. AMIE (Video) is a Gemini-based multi-agent system integrating low-latency dialogue, clinical reasoning, and real-time audio-visual perception. To guide development, we established a taxonomy and automated evaluations for clinical audio-visual cues in telehealth settings. In a randomized Objective Structured Clinical Examination (OSCE) study with 30 primary care physicians (PCPs), 15 patient actors and 100 clinical scenarios, we compared AMIE (Video), its text-only counterpart AMIE (Text), and PCPs consulting via video. Clinical evaluators rated AMIE (Video) on par or better than PCPs in history-taking, diagnosis, management, and physical observation and examination. Patient actors preferred AMIE's approach to assessing and explaining conditions, while PCPs were preferred for rapport and partnership building. In modality ablation, patient actors preferred AMIE (Video)'s interface over text chat for communicative effectiveness, convenience, and feeling understood. Limitations remain in fine anatomical precision, subtle affective nuances, and high-frequency movements. While further research is needed before real-world translation, these results mark an important milestone toward AI systems capable of augmenting care across the sensory complexity of clinical practice.
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Online video platforms face an exponential challenge
in detecting and mitigating the flood of AI-generated “slop”
and synthetic spam perpetuated by coordinated malicious actors.
This content is increasingly designed to exploit the limitations
of traditional media forensics, often utilizing generative AI to
produce unique, localized variations of harmful or low-quality
material at scale. Traditional content-centric moderation fails
against this coordinated, adversarial generation strategy.
This paper presents a novel, scalable detection and classification framework designed for online video platforms (OVP) to
identify and triage clusters of coordinated accounts exhibiting
a prevalence of adversarial synthetic content. The approach
leverages a multi-faceted architecture incorporating two core
machine learning components: a robust Coordinated Bot-Net
Detector (via Account Relatedness) and a Synthetic Pattern Classifier. Crucially, we introduce an advanced AI enhancement layer
utilizing Large Language Models (LLMs), specialized via LowRank Adaptation (LoRA) and Automatic Prompt Optimization
(APO), to achieve rapid, high-precision semantic understanding
of emerging synthetic spam trends.
Evaluated across a representative evaluation dataset (N =
16, 250 weekly candidate channels across six major synthetic
abuse verticals), the system demonstrates high precision (FPR <
0.05%) in identifying coordinated synthetic spam networks.
Furthermore, the LLM-driven classification achieves a 74%
automated triage routing rate, saving over 1, 100 operational
review hours per week while reducing investigation turnaround
times by up to 50% (p < 0.001). This work details a critical
system design that provides essential scalability and adversarial
resilience against sophisticated generative attacks.
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SAC133 - SSAC Comments on Proposed Root KSK Algorithm Rollover
Wes Hardaker
Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN), ICANN Security and Stability Advisory Committee (SSAC) Reports and Advisories (2026), pp. 9
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The SSAC supports the transition from RSA with SHA-256 (Algorithm 8) to ECDSA P-256
with SHA-256 (Algorithm 13) as the cryptographic algorithm for the RootKSK. The root zone
has relied on RSA-based algorithms since DNSSEC signing began in 2010. The algorithm did
not change during the first KSK rollover in 2018 or during the second rollover currently
underway and scheduled to complete in October 2026. Establishing a clear and predictable
process for algorithm transitions is essential to the long-term security of the root zone, and the
SSAC observes that the proposal addresses the Recommendation 23 of the SSR2 Review
accordingly.
The SSAC notes that the proposal builds upon the Root Zone DNSSEC Algorithm Rollover
Study published by ICANN in May 2024, which assessed resolver and authoritative server
support for alternative algorithms, analyzed rollover methodologies, and evaluated operational
risks. The SSAC finds that the proposal implements the study’s recommendations. The SSAC also notes that this proposal is consistent with the SSAC’s prior work on DNSSEC key rollover,
including SAC063, SAC073, SAC102, and SAC108.
The SSAC encourages ICANN to proceed with this rollover. Specific comments on the
proposal’s methodology, timeline, and operational readiness follow
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Agentic AI Infrastructure in Practice: Learn These Key Hurdles to Deploy Production AI Agents Efficiently
https://swisscognitive.ch/ (2026)
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The emergence of Agentic AI—autonomous systems capable of reasoning, decision-making, and multi-step execution—represents a paradigm shift in enterprise technology. Moving beyond simple generative tasks, these agents offer the potential to solve long-standing industry pain points, with over 90% of enterprises planning integration within the next three years. However, the transition from successful proof-of-concept (PoC) to a resilient, production-grade system presents significant hurdles.
This article categorizes these challenges into three primary domains:
Technical and Engineering Hurdles: Issues such as "entangled workflows" that complicate debugging, the struggle to maintain output quality and mitigate hallucinations, and the unpredictability caused by shifting underlying models or data sources.
People, Process, and Ecosystem Hurdles: The high operational costs and unclear ROI of large models, the necessity of a new "Agent Ops" skillset, the complexity of integrating agents with disparate enterprise systems, and a rapidly evolving regulatory landscape.
The Pace of Change and Security risks: The technical debt incurred by shifting software frameworks and the expanded attack surface created by autonomous agents.
The article concludes that successful deployment requires a shift from informal "vibe-testing" to rigorous engineering discipline. By adopting code-first frameworks, establishing robust evaluation metrics (KPIs), and prioritizing functional deployment over theoretical optimization, organizations can effectively manage the lifecycle of Agentic AI and realize its transformative business value.
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VISTA: A Test-Time Self-Improving Video Generation Agent
Xuan Long Do
Hootan Nakhost
The IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (to appear) (2026)
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Despite rapid advances in text-to-video (T2V) synthesis, generated video quality remains critically dependent on precise user prompts. Existing test-time optimization methods, successful in other domains, struggle with the multi-faceted nature of video. To address this, we introduce VISTA, a novel multi-agent system that autonomously refines prompts to improve video generation. VISTA operates in an iterative loop, first decomposing a user's idea into a structured temporal plan. After generation, the best video is identified through a robust pairwise tournament. This winning video is then critiqued by a trio of specialized agents focusing on visual, audio, and contextual fidelity. Finally, a reasoning agent synthesizes this feedback to introspectively rewrite and enhance the prompt for the next generation cycle. To rigorously evaluate our proposed approach, we introduce MovieGen-Bench, a new benchmark of diverse single- and multi-scene video generation tasks. Experiments show that while prior methods yield inconsistent gains, VISTA consistently improves video quality, achieving up to 60% pairwise win rate against state-of-the-art baselines. Human evaluators concur, preferring VISTA's outputs in 68% of comparisons.
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