Publications
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
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1 - 15 of 11202 publications
Neural general circulation models for modeling precipitation
Stephan Hoyer
Dmitrii Kochkov
Janni Yuval
Ian Langmore
Science Advances (2026)
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Climate models struggle to accurately simulate precipitation, particularly extremes and the diurnal cycle. While hybrid models combining machine learning and physics have emerged with the premise of improving precipitation simulations, none have proven sufficiently skillful or stable enough to outperform existing models in simulating precipitation.
Here, we present the first hybrid model that is trained directly on precipitation observations. The model runs at 2.8 degrees resolution and is built on the differentiable NeuralGCM framework. This model is stable for decadal simulations and demonstrates significant improvements over existing GCMs, ERA5 reanalysis, and a Global Cloud-Resolving Model in simulating precipitation. Our approach yields reduced biases, a more realistic precipitation distribution, improved representation of extremes, and a more accurate diurnal cycle. Furthermore, it outperforms the ECMWF ensemble for mid-range weather forecasting.
This advance paves the way for more reliable simulations of current climate and for the ability to fully utilize the abundance of existing observations to further improve GCMs.
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KVCIS: Activation-Based Token Importance Prediction for Intelligent KV-Cache Compression
Zenodo (2026)
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We introduce KVCIS (KV-Cache Importance Scoring), a novel approach to KV-cache compression that predicts token importance from intermediate-layer activations before attention is computed. Unlike existing methods (H2O, StreamingLLM, Scissorhands) that make compression decisions based on attention scores computed during generation, KVCIS enables proactive compression at cache insertion time—determining how to store each token before paying the computational cost of attention. We discover a two-level importance structure in decoder-only transformers: the beginning-of-sequence (BOS) token acts as an "attention sink" receiving ~76% of attention, while the remaining ~24% is distributed across content tokens with 10-11× importance spread. A simple linear probe achieves R² = 0.998 overall and R² = 0.68–0.79 for discriminating among content tokens. Extensive validation across 3 model families (Llama, Mistral, Gemma), 8 layer depths, context lengths from 256 to 2048 tokens, and multiple downstream tasks demonstrates: 50% memory reduction with zero degradation on NarrativeQA (F1 = 0.064 matching baseline exactly), while uniform quantization degrades by 7.8% at the same compression ratio. KVCIS consistently achieves 5–8× better quality preservation than uniform quantization across all tested context lengths. The memory savings enable increased batch sizes and longer context support; the probe itself adds minimal overhead (~16KB direction vector, 0.06ms per token). This work extends activation-based probing from safety classification to inference optimization, demonstrating that intermediate-layer activations encode predictive signals about token importance for generation.
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Securing Elliptic Curve Cryptocurrencies against Quantum Vulnerabilities: Resource Estimates and Mitigations
Michael Broughton
Thiago Bergamaschi
Justin Drake
Dan Boneh
arXiv:2603.28846 (2026)
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This whitepaper seeks to elucidate implications that the capabilities of developing quantum architectures have on blockchain vulnerabilities and mitigation strategies. First, we provide new resource estimates for breaking the 256-bit Elliptic Curve Discrete Logarithm Problem, the core of modern blockchain cryptography. We demonstrate that Shor's algorithm for this problem can execute with either <1200 logical qubits and <90 million Toffoli gates or <1450 logical qubits and <70 million Toffoli gates. In the interest of responsible disclosure, we use a zero-knowledge proof to validate these results without disclosing attack vectors. On superconducting architectures with 1e-3 physical error rates and planar connectivity, those circuits can execute in minutes using fewer than half a million physical qubits. We introduce a critical distinction between fast-clock (such as superconducting and photonic) and slow-clock (such as neutral atom and ion trap) architectures. Our analysis reveals that the first fast-clock CRQCs would enable on-spend attacks on public mempool transactions of some cryptocurrencies. We survey major cryptocurrency vulnerabilities through this lens, identifying systemic risks associated with advanced features in some blockchains such as smart contracts, Proof-of-Stake consensus, and Data Availability Sampling, as well as the enduring concern of abandoned assets. We argue that technical solutions would benefit from accompanying public policy and discuss various frameworks of digital salvage to regulate the recovery or destruction of dormant assets while preventing adversarial seizure. We also discuss implications for other digital assets and tokenization as well as challenges and successful examples of the ongoing transition to Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC). Finally, we urge all vulnerable cryptocurrency communities to join the ongoing migration to PQC without delay.
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Bridging the Dimensionality Gap: A Taxonomy and Survey of 2D Vision Model Adaptation for 3D Analysis
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The remarkable success of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Vision Transformers (ViTs) in 2D computer vision has catalyzed significant research into their adaptation for the complex domain of 3D analysis. However, a fundamental dichotomy exists between the regular, dense grid of 2D images and the irregular, sparse nature of 3D data formats such as point clouds and meshes. This paper provides a comprehensive survey and a novel intellectual framework for navigating this burgeoning field. Our core contribution is a new taxonomy that organizes adaptation strategies into three distinct families: (1) Data-centric methods, which project 3D data into 2D formats to leverage off-the-shelf 2D models; (2) Architecture-centric methods, which design intrinsic network modules to directly process 3D data; and (3) Hybrid methods, which synergistically combine pre-trained 2D features with 3D modeling processing pipelines to benefit from both rich visual priors and explicit geometric reasoning. Through this taxonomic lens, we conduct a systematic review and qualitative synthesis of the field. We illuminate the fundamental trade-offs between these families concerning computational complexity, reliance on large-scale pre-training, and the preservation of geometric inductive biases. Based on this analysis, we identify and discuss critical open challenges and chart promising future research directions, including the development of 3D foundation models, advancements in self-supervised learning for geometric data, and the deeper integration of multi-modal signals. This survey serves as an essential resource and roadmap for researchers seeking to understand and advance the state-of-the-art in 3D computer vision.
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VISTA: A Test-Time Self-Improving Video Generation Agent
Hootan Nakhost
Xuan Long Do
The IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (to appear) (2026)
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Despite rapid advances in text-to-video (T2V) synthesis, generated video quality remains critically dependent on precise user prompts. Existing test-time optimization methods, successful in other domains, struggle with the multi-faceted nature of video. To address this, we introduce VISTA, a novel multi-agent system that autonomously refines prompts to improve video generation. VISTA operates in an iterative loop, first decomposing a user's idea into a structured temporal plan. After generation, the best video is identified through a robust pairwise tournament. This winning video is then critiqued by a trio of specialized agents focusing on visual, audio, and contextual fidelity. Finally, a reasoning agent synthesizes this feedback to introspectively rewrite and enhance the prompt for the next generation cycle. To rigorously evaluate our proposed approach, we introduce MovieGen-Bench, a new benchmark of diverse single- and multi-scene video generation tasks. Experiments show that while prior methods yield inconsistent gains, VISTA consistently improves video quality, achieving up to 60% pairwise win rate against state-of-the-art baselines. Human evaluators concur, preferring VISTA's outputs in 68% of comparisons.
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Managing and Securing Google's Fleet of Multi-Node Servers
Richard Hanley
Havard Skinnemoen
Andrés Lagar-Cavilla
Michael Wong
Jeff Andersen
Kishan Prasad
Patrick Leis
Shiva Rao
Chris Koch
Jad Baydoun
Anna Sapek
Communications of the ACM, 69:3 (2026), pp. 82 - 92
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Server hardware and software co-design for a secure, efficient cloud.
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Phoenix: Rowhammer Attacks on DDR5 with Self-Correcting Synchronization
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Michele Marazzi
Kaveh Razavi
Salman Qazi
Diego Meyer
Patrick Jattke
IEEE Security & Privacy (S&P) (2026)
System for a Secure, Outcome-Based Synthetic Labor Market Using Trusted Execution Environments
Patent (2026)
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Some artificial intelligence provisioning models that function as tools for human users or rely on labor arbitrage can present challenges for organizations, such as managing personnel rather than task outcomes and introducing data security risks. An architecture is described for an outcome-based synthetic labor market in which autonomous computational agents can be compensated based on verified task completion. The framework can leverage trusted execution environments to create secure hardware enclaves for processing sensitive data, which can render the data cryptographically inaccessible to a host system or agent provider. This approach can facilitate a secure, transactional market for autonomous professional execution, which may enable a shift from managing labor resources to procuring verified outcomes from a pool of specialized agents.
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An experimental evaluation of an AI-powered interactive learning platform
Nicole Miller
Yael Haramaty
Lidan Hackmon
Lior Belinsky
Abraham Oritz Tapia
Lucy Tootill
Scott Siebert
Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence (2026) (to appear)
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Generative AI, which is capable of transforming static content into dynamic learning experiences, holds the potential to revolutionize student engagement in educational contexts. However, questions still remain around whether or not these tools are effective at facilitating student learning. In this research, we test the effectiveness of an AI-powered platform incorporating multiple representations and assessment through Learn Your Way, an experimental research platform that transforms textbook chapters into dynamic visual and audio representations. Through a between-subjects, mixed methods experiment with 60 US-based students, we demonstrate that students who used Learn Your Way had a more positive learning experience and had better learning outcomes compared to students learning the same content through a digital textbook. These findings indicate that AI-driven tools, capable of providing choice among interactive representations of content, constitute an effective and promising method for enhancing student learning.
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Usability Hasn’t Peaked: Exploring How Expressive Design Overcomes the Usability Plateau
Alyssa Sheehan
Bianca Gallardo
Ying Wang
Proceedings of the 2026 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems (CHI ’26), April 13–17, 2026, Barcelona, Spain (2026)
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Critics have argued that mobile usability has largely been optimized, and that only incremental gains are possible. We set out to explore if the newest generation of design systems, which promote greater flexibility and a return to design basics, could produce substantially more usable designs while maintaining or increasing aesthetic judgments. Through a study with 48 diverse participants completing tasks in 10 different applications, we found that in designs created following Material 3 Expressive guidelines, users fixated on the correct screen element for a task 33% faster, completed tasks 20% faster, and rated experiences more positively compared to versions designed using the previous Material design system. These improvements in performance and aesthetic ratings challenge the premise of a usability plateau and show that mobile usability has not peaked. We illustrate specific opportunities to make mobile experiences more usable by returning to design fundamentals while highlighting risks of added flexibility.
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This disclosure describes systems and methods for a multi-agent framework that can automate and scale cognitive work. The framework can, for example, use a cognitive assembly line of specialized computational agents to perform tasks such as research and drafting. A beneficial component could be an adversarial review panel (ARP), which is a multi-agent review system where distinct agent personas critique a generated draft from varied perspectives. The structured feedback from the ARP can be used to automatically iterate on and refine the work product. This approach can improve the intellectual rigor of generated content and reduce the time required for production, which may allow human operators to focus on activities such as strategic oversight and final validation.
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Expert evaluation of LLM world models: A high-Tc superconductivity case study
Haoyu Guo
Maria Tikhanovskaya
Paul Raccuglia
Alexey Vlaskin
Chris Co
Scott Ellsworth
Matthew Abraham
Lizzie Dorfman
Peter Armitage
Chunhan Feng
Antoine Georges
Olivier Gingras
Dominik Kiese
Steve Kivelson
Vadim Oganesyan
Brad Ramshaw
Subir Sachdev
Senthil Todadri
John Tranquada
Eun-Ah Kim
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2026)
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Large Language Models (LLMs) show great promise as a powerful tool for scientific literature exploration. However, their effectiveness in providing scientifically accurate and comprehensive answers to complex questions within specialized domains remains an active area of research. This work evaluates the performance of six different LLM-based systems for answering scientific literature questions, including commercially available closed models and a custom retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) system capable of retrieving images alongside text. We conduct a rigorous expert evaluation of the systems in the domain of high-temperature cuprate superconductors, a research area that involves material science, experimental physics, computation, and theoretical physics. We use an expert-curated database of 1726 scientific papers and a set of 67 expert-formulated questions. The evaluation employs a multi-faceted rubric assessing balanced perspectives, factual comprehensiveness, succinctness, evidentiary support, and image relevance. Our results demonstrate that RAG-based systems, powered by curated data and multimodal retrieval, outperform existing closed models across key metrics, particularly in providing comprehensive and well-supported answers, and in retrieving relevant visual information. This study provides valuable insights into designing and evaluating specialized scientific literature understanding systems, particularly with expert involvement, while also highlighting the importance of rich, domain-specific data in such systems.
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Peeking Ahead of the Field Study: Exploring VLM Personas as Support Tools for Embodied Studies in HCI
Xinyue Gui
Ding Xia
Mark Colley
Yuan Li
Vishal Chauhan
Anubhav Anubhav
Ehsan Javanmardi
Stela Hanbyeol Seo
Chia-Ming Chang
Manabu Tsukada
Takeo Igarashi
Proceedings of the 2026 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems (CHI 26)
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Field studies are irreplaceable but costly, time-consuming, and error-prone, which need careful preparation. Inspired by rapid-prototyping in manufacturing, we propose a fast, low-cost evaluation method using Vision-Language Model (VLM) personas to simulate outcomes comparable to field results. While LLMs show human-like reasoning and language capabilities, autonomous vehicle (AV)-pedestrian interaction requires spatial awareness, emotional empathy, and behavioral generation. This raises our research question: To what extent can VLM personas mimic human responses in field studies? We conducted parallel studies: 1) one real-world study with 20 participants, and 2) one video-study using 20 VLM personas, both on a street-crossing task. We compared their responses and interviewed five HCI researchers on potential applications. Results show that VLM personas mimic human response patterns (e.g., average crossing times of 5.25 s vs. 5.07 s) lack the behavioral variability and depth. They show promise for formative studies, field study preparation, and human data augmentation.
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This talk addresses the challenges of operating Google's monitoring systems at scale, handling terabytes of telemetry data and preventing overload from diverse workloads. We'll explore how Google's internal client library and Monarch, its planet-scale time-series database, work together for cost-effective data collection. Key principles include a distributed push model, dynamic client-side data reduction, centralized retention, and periodic metric analysis. The session will then bridge these concepts to the open-source world, discussing our work with OpenTelemetry's OpAMP protocol to achieve similar scalable and efficient telemetry collection. Attendees will gain insights into adapting these principles for cost savings and learn about our collaboration with the OpAMP SIG to benefit the broader community.
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In some multi-stage software build pipelines, downstream compiler errors may be reported against ephemeral, machine-generated intermediate artifacts rather than original, human-written source code, which can make remediation challenging. A system and method may address this by intercepting a downstream error, mapping its location back to the original source file, and programmatically injecting a dormant suppression tag into the original source code. During a subsequent build, an intermediate transpiler can propagate this tag into a newly generated intermediate artifact. In the intermediate file, the tag may become active and be recognized by the downstream compiler as a directive to suppress the specific error. This approach can facilitate an automated remediation process for certain build failures that avoids direct modification of ephemeral files and uses the original source code as a record for suppression.
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