Yun Liu
Yun is a senior staff research scientist in Google Research. In this role he focuses on developing and validating machine learning for medical applications across multiple fields: pathology, ophthalmology, radiology, dermatology, and more. Yun completed his PhD at Harvard-MIT Health Sciences and Technology, where he worked on predictive risk modeling using biomedical signals, medical text, and billing codes. He has previously also worked on predictive modeling for nucleic acid sequences and protein structures. Yun completed a B.S. in Molecular and Cellular Biology and Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University.
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Searching for Dermatology Information Online using Images vs Text: a Randomized Study
Jay Hartford
Natalie Salaets
Kimberley Raiford
Jay Nayar
Dounia Berrada
Harsh Kharbanda
Lou Wang
Peggy Bui
medRxiv (2024)
Preview abstract
Background Skin conditions are extremely common worldwide, and are an important cause of both anxiety and morbidity. Since the advent of the internet, individuals have used text-based search (eg, “red rash on arm”) to learn more about concerns on their skin, but this process is often hindered by the inability to accurately describe the lesion’s morphology. In the study, we surveyed respondents’ experiences with an image-based search, compared to the traditional text-based search experience.
Methods An internet-based survey was conducted to evaluate the experience of text-based vs image-based search for skin conditions. We recruited respondents from an existing cohort of volunteers in a commercial survey panel; survey respondents that met inclusion/exclusion criteria, including willingness to take photos of a visible concern on their body, were enrolled. Respondents were asked to use the Google mobile app to conduct both regular text-based search (Google Search) and image-based search (Google Lens) for their concern, with the order of text vs. image search randomized. Satisfaction for each search experience along six different dimensions were recorded and compared, and respondents’ preferences for the different search types along these same six dimensions were recorded.
Results 372 respondents were enrolled in the study, with 44% self-identifying as women, 86% as White and 41% over age 45. The rate of respondents who were at least moderately familiar with searching for skin conditions using text-based search versus image-based search were 81.5% and 63.5%, respectively. After using both search modalities, respondents were highly satisfied with both image-based and text-based search, with >90% at least somewhat satisfied in each dimension and no significant differences seen between text-based and image-based search when examining the responses on an absolute scale per search modality. When asked to directly rate their preferences in a comparative way, survey respondents preferred image-based search over text-based search in 5 out of 6 dimensions, with an absolute 9.9% more preferring image-based search over text-based search overall (p=0.004). 82.5% (95% CI 78.2 - 86.3) reported a preference to leverage image-based search (alone or in combination with text-based search) in future searches. Of those who would prefer to use a combination of both, 64% indicated they would like to start with image-based search, indicating that image-based search may be the preferred entry point for skin-related searches.
Conclusion Despite being less familiar with image-based search upon study inception, survey respondents generally preferred image-based search to text-based search and overwhelmingly wanted to include this in future searches. These results suggest the potential for image-based search to play a key role in people searching for information regarding skin concerns.
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Searching for Dermatology Information Online using Images vs Text: a Randomized Study
Jay Hartford
Natalie Salaets
Kimberley Raiford
Jay Nayar
Dounia Berrada
Harsh Kharbanda
Lou Wang
Peggy Bui
medRxiv (2024)
Preview abstract
Background: Skin conditions are extremely common worldwide, and are an important cause of both anxiety and morbidity. Since the advent of the internet, individuals have used text-based search (eg, “red rash on arm”) to learn more about concerns on their skin, but this process is often hindered by the inability to accurately describe the lesion’s morphology. In the study, we surveyed respondents’ experiences with an image-based search, compared to the traditional text-based search experience.
Methods: An internet-based survey was conducted to evaluate the experience of text-based vs image-based search for skin conditions. We recruited respondents from an existing cohort of volunteers in a commercial survey panel; survey respondents that met inclusion/exclusion criteria, including willingness to take photos of a visible concern on their body, were enrolled. Respondents were asked to use the Google mobile app to conduct both regular text-based search (Google Search) and image-based search (Google Lens) for their concern, with the order of text vs. image search randomized. Satisfaction for each search experience along six different dimensions were recorded and compared, and respondents’ preferences for the different search types along these same six dimensions were recorded.
Results: 372 respondents were enrolled in the study, with 44% self-identifying as women, 86% as White and 41% over age 45. The rate of respondents who were at least moderately familiar with searching for skin conditions using text-based search versus image-based search were 81.5% and 63.5%, respectively. After using both search modalities, respondents were highly satisfied with both image-based and text-based search, with >90% at least somewhat satisfied in each dimension and no significant differences seen between text-based and image-based search when examining the responses on an absolute scale per search modality. When asked to directly rate their preferences in a comparative way, survey respondents preferred image-based search over text-based search in 5 out of 6 dimensions, with an absolute 9.9% more preferring image-based search over text-based search overall (p=0.004). 82.5% (95% CI 78.2 - 86.3) reported a preference to leverage image-based search (alone or in combination with text-based search) in future searches. Of those who would prefer to use a combination of both, 64% indicated they would like to start with image-based search, indicating that image-based search may be the preferred entry point for skin-related searches.
Conclusion: Despite being less familiar with image-based search upon study inception, survey respondents generally preferred image-based search to text-based search and overwhelmingly wanted to include this in future searches. These results suggest the potential for image-based search to play a key role in people searching for information regarding skin concerns.
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Prospective Multi-Site Validation of AI to Detect Tuberculosis and Chest X-Ray Abnormalities
Sahar Kazemzadeh
Atilla Kiraly
Nsala Sanjase
Minyoi Maimbolwa
Brian Shuma
Shahar Jamshy
Christina Chen
Arnav Agharwal
Chuck Lau
Daniel Golden
Jin Yu
Eric Wu
Kat Chou
Shravya Shetty
Krish Eswaran
Rory Pilgrim
Monde Muyoyeta
NEJM AI (2024)
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Background
Using artificial intelligence (AI) to interpret chest X-rays (CXRs) could support accessible triage tests for active pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in resource-constrained settings.
Methods
The performance of two cloud-based CXR AI systems — one to detect TB and the other to detect CXR abnormalities — in a population with a high TB and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) burden was evaluated. We recruited 1978 adults who had TB symptoms, were close contacts of known TB patients, or were newly diagnosed with HIV at three clinical sites. The TB-detecting AI (TB AI) scores were converted to binary using two thresholds: a high-sensitivity threshold and an exploratory threshold designed to resemble radiologist performance. Ten radiologists reviewed images for signs of TB, blinded to the reference standard. Primary analysis measured AI detection noninferiority to radiologist performance. Secondary analysis evaluated AI detection as compared with the World Health Organization (WHO) targets (90% sensitivity, 70% specificity). Both used an absolute margin of 5%. The abnormality-detecting AI (abnormality AI) was evaluated for noninferiority to a high-sensitivity target suitable for triaging (90% sensitivity, 50% specificity).
Results
Of the 1910 patients analyzed, 1827 (96%) had conclusive TB status, of which 649 (36%) were HIV positive and 192 (11%) were TB positive. The TB AI’s sensitivity and specificity were 87% and 70%, respectively, at the high-sensitivity threshold and 78% and 82%, respectively, at the balanced threshold. Radiologists’ mean sensitivity was 76% and mean specificity was 82%. At the high-sensitivity threshold, the TB AI was noninferior to average radiologist sensitivity (P<0.001) but not to average radiologist specificity (P=0.99) and was higher than the WHO target for specificity but not sensitivity. At the balanced threshold, the TB AI was comparable to radiologists. The abnormality AI’s sensitivity and specificity were 97% and 79%, respectively, with both meeting the prespecified targets.
Conclusions
The CXR TB AI was noninferior to radiologists for active pulmonary TB triaging in a population with a high TB and HIV burden. Neither the TB AI nor the radiologists met WHO recommendations for sensitivity in the study population. AI can also be used to detect other CXR abnormalities in the same population.
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An intentional approach to managing bias in embedding models
Atilla P. Kiraly
Jungyeon Park
Rory Pilgrim
Charles Lau
Heather Cole-Lewis
Shravya Shetty
Krish Eswaran
Leo Anthony Celi
The Lancet Digital Health, 6 (2024), E126-E130
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Advances in machine learning for health care have brought concerns about bias from the research community; specifically, the introduction, perpetuation, or exacerbation of care disparities. Reinforcing these concerns is the finding that medical images often reveal signals about sensitive attributes in ways that are hard to pinpoint by both algorithms and people. This finding raises a question about how to best design general purpose pretrained embeddings (GPPEs, defined as embeddings meant to support a broad array of use cases) for building downstream models that are free from particular types of bias. The downstream model should be carefully evaluated for bias, and audited and improved as appropriate. However, in our view, well intentioned attempts to prevent the upstream components—GPPEs—from learning sensitive attributes can have unintended consequences on the downstream models. Despite producing a veneer of technical neutrality, the resultant end-to-end system might still be biased or poorly performing. We present reasons, by building on previously published data, to support the reasoning that GPPEs should ideally contain as much information as the original data contain, and highlight the perils of trying to remove sensitive attributes from a GPPE. We also emphasise that downstream prediction models trained for specific tasks and settings, whether developed using GPPEs or not, should be carefully designed and evaluated to avoid bias that makes models vulnerable to issues such as distributional shift. These evaluations should be done by a diverse team, including social scientists, on a diverse cohort representing the full breadth of the patient population for which the final model is intended.
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A Multiparty Collaboration to Engage Diverse Populations in Community-Centered Artificial Intelligence Research
Anna Devon-Sand
Patricia Strachan
Margaret Ann Smith
Trinh Nguyen
Justin Ko
Steven Lin
Mayo Clinic Proceedings: Digital Health (2024)
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Artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled technology has the potential to expand access to high-quality health information and health care services. Learning how diverse users interact with technology enables improvements to the AI model and the user interface, maximizing its potential benefit for a greater number of people. This narrative describes how technology developers, academic researchers, and representatives from a community-based organization collaborated to conduct a community-centered project on emerging health technologies. Our project team comprised representatives from Stanford Medicine, Google, and Santa Clara Family Health Plan’s Blanca Alvarado Community Resource Center. We aimed to understand the usability and acceptability of an AI-driven dermatology tool among East San Jose, California, community members. Specifically, our objectives were as follows: to test a model for cross-sector research of AI-based health technology; to determine the utility of the tool in an ethnically and age-diverse population; to obtain in-depth user experience feedback from participants recruited during community events; to offer free skin health consultations; and to provide resources for receiving follow-up care. We describe a collaborative approach in which each party contributed expertise: knowledge of the community from the community health partner, clinical expertise from the academic research institution, and software and AI expertise from the technology company. Through an iterative process, we identified important community needs, including technological, language, and privacy support. Our approach allowed us to recruit and engage a diverse cohort of participants, over 70% of whom preferred a language other than English. We distill learnings from planning and executing this case study that may help other collaborators bridge the gap between academia, industry, and community in AI health care innovation.
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Conversational AI in health: Design considerations from a Wizard-of-Oz dermatology case study with users, clinicians and a medical LLM
Brenna Li
Amy Wang
Patricia Strachan
Julie Anne Seguin
Sami Lachgar
Karyn Schroeder
Renee Wong
Extended Abstracts of the 2024 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems, Association for Computing Machinery, pp. 10
Preview abstract
Although skin concerns are common, access to specialist care is limited. Artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted tools to support medical decisions may provide patients with feedback on their concerns while also helping ensure the most urgent cases are routed to dermatologists. Although AI-based conversational agents have been explored recently, how they are perceived by patients and clinicians is not well understood. We conducted a Wizard-of-Oz study involving 18 participants with real skin concerns. Participants were randomly assigned to interact with either a clinician agent (portrayed by a dermatologist) or an LLM agent (supervised by a dermatologist) via synchronous multimodal chat. In both conditions, participants found the conversation to be helpful in understanding their medical situation and alleviate their concerns. Through qualitative coding of the conversation transcripts, we provide insight on the importance of empathy and effective information-seeking. We conclude with design considerations for future AI-based conversational agents in healthcare settings.
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Differences between Patient and Clinician Submitted Images: Implications for Virtual Care of Skin Conditions
Rajeev Rikhye
Grace Eunhae Hong
Margaret Ann Smith
Aaron Loh
Vijaytha Muralidharan
Doris Wong
Michelle Phung
Nicolas Betancourt
Bradley Fong
Rachna Sahasrabudhe
Khoban Nasim
Alec Eschholz
Kat Chou
Peggy Bui
Justin Ko
Steven Lin
Mayo Clinic Proceedings: Digital Health (2024)
Preview abstract
Objective: To understand and highlight the differences in clinical, demographic, and image quality characteristics between patient-taken (PAT) and clinic-taken (CLIN) photographs of skin conditions.
Patients and Methods: This retrospective study applied logistic regression to data from 2500 deidentified cases in Stanford Health Care’s eConsult system, from November 2015 to January 2021. Cases with undiagnosable or multiple conditions or cases with both patient and clinician image sources were excluded, leaving 628 PAT cases and 1719 CLIN cases. Demographic characteristic factors, such as age and sex were self-reported, whereas anatomic location, estimated skin type, clinical signs and symptoms, condition duration, and condition frequency were summarized from patient health records. Image quality variables such as blur, lighting issues and whether the image contained skin, hair, or nails were estimated through a deep learning model.
Results: Factors that were positively associated with CLIN photographs, post-2020 were as follows: age 60 years or older, darker skin types (eFST V/VI), and presence of skin growths. By contrast, factors that were positively associated with PAT photographs include conditions appearing intermittently, cases with blurry photographs, photographs with substantial nonskin (or nail/hair) regions and cases with more than 3 photographs. Within the PAT cohort, older age was associated with blurry photographs.
Conclusion: There are various demographic, clinical, and image quality characteristic differences between PAT and CLIN photographs of skin concerns. The demographic characteristic differences present important considerations for improving digital literacy or access, whereas the image quality differences point to the need for improved patient education and better image capture workflows, particularly among elderly patients.
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General Geospatial Inference with a Population Dynamics Foundation Model
Chaitanya Kamath
Prithul Sarker
Joydeep Paul
Yael Mayer
Sheila de Guia
Jamie McPike
Adam Boulanger
David Schottlander
Yao Xiao
Manjit Chakravarthy Manukonda
Monica Bharel
Von Nguyen
Luke Barrington
Niv Efron
Krish Eswaran
Shravya Shetty
(2024) (to appear)
Preview abstract
Supporting the health and well-being of dynamic populations around the world requires governmental agencies, organizations, and researchers to understand and reason over complex relationships between human behavior and local contexts. This support includes identifying populations at elevated risk and gauging where to target limited aid resources. Traditional approaches to these classes of problems often entail developing manually curated, task-specific features and models to represent human behavior and the natural and built environment, which can be challenging to adapt to new, or even related tasks. To address this, we introduce the Population Dynamics Foundation Model (PDFM), which aims to capture the relationships between diverse data modalities and is applicable to a broad range of geospatial tasks. We first construct a geo-indexed dataset for postal codes and counties across the United States, capturing rich aggregated information on human behavior from maps, busyness, and aggregated search trends, and environmental factors such as weather and air quality. We then model this data and the complex relationships between locations using a graph neural network, producing embeddings that can be adapted to a wide range of downstream tasks using relatively simple models. We evaluate the effectiveness of our approach by benchmarking it on 27 downstream tasks spanning three distinct domains: health indicators, socioeconomic factors, and environmental measurements. The approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on geospatial interpolation across all tasks, surpassing existing satellite and geotagged image based location encoders. In addition, it achieves state-of-the-art performance in extrapolation and super-resolution for 25 of the 27 tasks. We also show that the PDFM can be combined with a state-of-the-art forecasting foundation model, TimesFM, to predict unemployment and poverty, achieving performance that surpasses fully supervised forecasting. The full set of embeddings and sample code are publicly available for researchers. In conclusion, we have demonstrated a general purpose approach to geospatial modeling tasks critical to understanding population dynamics by leveraging a rich set of complementary globally available datasets that can be readily adapted to previously unseen machine learning tasks.
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Predicting Cardiovascular Disease Risk using Photoplethysmography and Deep Learning
Sebastien Baur
Christina Chen
Mariam Jabara
Babak Behsaz
Shravya Shetty
Goodarz Danaei
Diego Ardila
PLOS Global Public Health, 4(6) (2024), e0003204
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Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are responsible for a large proportion of premature deaths in low- and middle-income countries. Early CVD detection and intervention is critical in these populations, yet many existing CVD risk scores require a physical examination or lab measurements, which can be challenging in such health systems due to limited accessibility. We investigated the potential to use photoplethysmography (PPG), a sensing technology available on most smartphones that can potentially enable large-scale screening at low cost, for CVD risk prediction. We developed a deep learning PPG-based CVD risk score (DLS) to predict the probability of having major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE: non-fatal myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular death) within ten years, given only age, sex, smoking status and PPG as predictors. We compare the DLS with the office-based refit-WHO score, which adopts the shared predictors from WHO and Globorisk scores (age, sex, smoking status, height, weight and systolic blood pressure) but refitted on the UK Biobank (UKB) cohort. All models were trained on a development dataset (141,509 participants) and evaluated on a geographically separate test (54,856 participants) dataset, both from UKB. DLS’s C-statistic (71.1%, 95% CI 69.9–72.4) is non-inferior to office-based refit-WHO score (70.9%, 95% CI 69.7–72.2; non-inferiority margin of 2.5%, p<0.01) in the test dataset. The calibration of the DLS is satisfactory, with a 1.8% mean absolute calibration error. Adding DLS features to the office-based score increases the C-statistic by 1.0% (95% CI 0.6–1.4). DLS predicts ten-year MACE risk comparable with the office-based refit-WHO score. Interpretability analyses suggest that the DLS-extracted features are related to PPG waveform morphology and are independent of heart rate. Our study provides a proof-of-concept and suggests the potential of a PPG-based approach strategies for community-based primary prevention in resource-limited regions.
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Towards Generalist Biomedical AI
Danny Driess
Andrew Carroll
Chuck Lau
Ryutaro Tanno
Ira Ktena
Anil Palepu
Basil Mustafa
Aakanksha Chowdhery
Simon Kornblith
Philip Mansfield
Sushant Prakash
Renee Wong
Sunny Virmani
Sara Mahdavi
Bradley Green
Ewa Dominowska
Joelle Barral
Karan Singhal
Pete Florence
NEJM AI (2024)
Preview abstract
BACKGROUND: Medicine is inherently multimodal, requiring the simultaneous interpretation and integration of insights between many data modalities spanning text, imaging, genomics, and more. Generalist biomedical artificial intelligence systems that flexibly encode, integrate, and interpret these data might better enable impactful applications ranging from scientific discovery to care delivery.
METHODS: To catalyze development of these models, we curated MultiMedBench, a new multimodal biomedical benchmark. MultiMedBench encompasses 14 diverse tasks, such as medical question answering, mammography and dermatology image interpretation, radiology report generation and summarization, and genomic variant calling. We then introduced Med-PaLM Multimodal (Med-PaLM M), our proof of concept for a generalist biomedical AI system that flexibly encodes and interprets biomedical data including clinical language, imaging, and genomics with the same set of model weights. To further probe the capabilities and limitations of Med-PaLM M, we conducted a radiologist evaluation of model-generated (and human) chest x-ray reports.
RESULTS: We observed encouraging performance across model scales. Med-PaLM M reached performance competitive with or exceeding the state of the art on all MultiMedBench tasks, often surpassing specialist models by a wide margin. In a side-by-side ranking on 246 retrospective chest x-rays, clinicians expressed a pairwise preference for Med-PaLM Multimodal reports over those produced by radiologists in up to 40.50% of cases, suggesting potential clinical utility.
CONCLUSIONS: Although considerable work is needed to validate these models in real-world cases and understand if cross-modality generalization is possible, our results represent a milestone toward the development of generalist biomedical artificial intelligence systems.
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