Publications
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
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1 - 15 of 11268 publications
Reasoning-Driven Synthetic Data Generation and Evaluation
Tim R. Davidson
Benoit Seguin
Transactions on Machine Learning Research (2026)
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Although many AI applications of interest require specialized multi-modal models, relevant data to train such models is inherently scarce or inaccessible. Filling these gaps with human annotators is prohibitively expensive, error-prone, and time-consuming, leading model builders to increasingly consider synthetic data as a scalable alternative. However, existing synthetic data generation methods often rely on manual prompts, evolutionary algorithms, or extensive seed data from the target distribution — limiting their scalability, explainability, and control. In this paper, we introduce Simula: a novel reasoning-driven framework for data generation and evaluation. It employs a seedless, agentic approach to generate synthetic datasets at scale, allowing users to define desired dataset characteristics through an explainable and controllable process that enables fine-grained resource allocation. We show the efficacy of our approach on a variety of datasets, rigorously testing both intrinsic and downstream properties. Our work (1) offers guidelines for synthetic data mechanism design, (2) provides insights into generating and evaluating synthetic data at scale, and (3) unlocks new opportunities for developing and deploying AI in domains where data scarcity or privacy concerns are paramount.
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This article delves into how Google Site Reliability Engineers (SREs) leverage Gemini 3 and the Gemini CLI to aggressively reduce Mean Time to Mitigation (MTTM) during real-world outages. By focusing on the SRE motto of "Eliminate Toil," the article walks through a simulated incident, demonstrating how an agentic CLI acts as a human-in-the-loop copilot across the entire incident lifecycle: from initial paging and investigation, through safe, tool-driven mitigation and root cause analysis, to automated postmortem generation and action item filing. This direct integration of Gemini's reasoning capabilities with operational data and internal tools creates a virtuous cycle where past incident learnings continuously inform and improve future solutions.
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As AI redefines identity verification in high stakes systems, it introduces novel risks like deepfake fraud and algorithmic bias, creating a critical trust deficit. This session will provide a practical framework for ethical governance, equipping leaders to build and manage secure, fair, and fundamentally trustworthy AI systems by design.
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This talk addresses the challenges of operating Google's monitoring systems at scale, handling terabytes of telemetry data and preventing overload from diverse workloads. We'll explore how Google's internal client library and Monarch, its planet-scale time-series database, work together for cost-effective data collection. Key principles include a distributed push model, dynamic client-side data reduction, centralized retention, and periodic metric analysis. The session will then bridge these concepts to the open-source world, discussing our work with OpenTelemetry's OpAMP protocol to achieve similar scalable and efficient telemetry collection. Attendees will gain insights into adapting these principles for cost savings and learn about our collaboration with the OpAMP SIG to benefit the broader community.
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Expert evaluation of LLM world models: A high-Tc superconductivity case study
Haoyu Guo
Maria Tikhanovskaya
Paul Raccuglia
Alexey Vlaskin
Chris Co
Scott Ellsworth
Matthew Abraham
Lizzie Dorfman
Peter Armitage
Chunhan Feng
Antoine Georges
Olivier Gingras
Dominik Kiese
Steve Kivelson
Vadim Oganesyan
Brad Ramshaw
Subir Sachdev
Senthil Todadri
John Tranquada
Eun-Ah Kim
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2026)
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Large Language Models (LLMs) show great promise as a powerful tool for scientific literature exploration. However, their effectiveness in providing scientifically accurate and comprehensive answers to complex questions within specialized domains remains an active area of research. This work evaluates the performance of six different LLM-based systems for answering scientific literature questions, including commercially available closed models and a custom retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) system capable of retrieving images alongside text. We conduct a rigorous expert evaluation of the systems in the domain of high-temperature cuprate superconductors, a research area that involves material science, experimental physics, computation, and theoretical physics. We use an expert-curated database of 1726 scientific papers and a set of 67 expert-formulated questions. The evaluation employs a multi-faceted rubric assessing balanced perspectives, factual comprehensiveness, succinctness, evidentiary support, and image relevance. Our results demonstrate that RAG-based systems, powered by curated data and multimodal retrieval, outperform existing closed models across key metrics, particularly in providing comprehensive and well-supported answers, and in retrieving relevant visual information. This study provides valuable insights into designing and evaluating specialized scientific literature understanding systems, particularly with expert involvement, while also highlighting the importance of rich, domain-specific data in such systems.
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When managing complex, unpredictable (non-deterministic) AI agents using simple, fixed control systems (like finite state machines), operational failures and accountability issues often arise. This document introduces a probabilistic governance and telemetry framework to resolve these problems. Instead of following a rigid sequence of steps, this framework defines a multi-dimensional operational boundary, a 'behavioral volume', and assigns the agent a goal. This allows the agent to use its own reasoning to achieve the goal while remaining within the defined boundaries. A separate telemetry layer monitors the agent's actions by calculating metrics, such as alignment scores and drift velocity, to measure how much the agent deviates from its intended behavior. This system provides a method for guiding, monitoring, and securing autonomous agents, effectively managing the performance and security of an unpredictable AI workforce in complex environments.
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The Ontic-Epistemic Distinction: Implications for General Intelligence
Master's Thesis (2026) (to appear)
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The current pursuit of robust machine intelligence is largely predicated on a substrate independent, computational functionalist view of cognition, where sufficiently complex computational processing is expected to eventually yield generalized reasoning. This paper explores the ontological distinctions between these computational frameworks and biological cognition, specifically how these differences impact the capacity for semantic understanding. By analyzing phenomena such as the "reversal curse" where models fail to generalize the symmetry in identity relations (A=B implies B=A), and performance on novel reasoning benchmarks (e.g., ARC-AGI), this paper examines whether current model limitations are transient artifacts of scale or indicative of a distinct architectural category. Integrating Stevan Harnad’s “symbol grounding problem” with Evan Thompson’s biological model of “intrinsic normativity,” I investigate whether robust general intelligence might require sense-making: a process distinct from information processing, whereby an agent’s internal states are causally coupled with its environment via survival or system-wide stakes which grounds symbols in meaning. Current Large Language Models (LLMs) appear to lack this intrinsic normativity, and consequently may operate primarily as epistemic instruments rather than ontic agents. By introducing the concept of “ontic grounding”, this paper presents a potential framework for distinguishing between the simulation of reasoning and true understanding, which could have implications for AI safety and governance.
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Conformal prediction provides rigorous uncertainty guarantees for model outputs but can produce prohibitively large prediction sets in structured domains such as routing, planning, or sequential recommendation. We introduce \emph{graph-based conformal compression}, a framework for constructing compact subgraphs that preserve the statistical validity of conformal prediction while reducing structural complexity. We study a formulation that selects a smallest subgraph capturing a prescribed fraction of conditional probability mass, and reduce to a weighted version of densest $k$-subgraphs in hypergraphs, in the regime where the subgraph has a large fraction of edges. We design efficient approximation algorithms that achieve constant factor coverage and size trade-offs. Our results highlight an algorithmic regime, distinct from classical densest-$k$-subgraph hardness settings, where the problem can be approximated efficiently, bridging conformal prediction with combinatorial graph compression. We finally validate our algorithmic approach on synthetic and real-world instances of trip planning and navigation, showing in each case that our approach handily beats natural baselines.
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We consider a setting where we have a ground set ℳ together with real-valued set functions f₁, … , f_n, and the goal is to partition ℳ into two sets S₁,S₂ such that |f_i(S₁) - f_i(S₂)| is small for every i. Many results in discrepancy theory can be stated in this form with the functions f_i being additive. In this work, we initiate the study of the unstructured case where f_i is not assumed to be additive. We show that even without the additivity assumption, the upper bound remains at most O(√{n log n}).
Our result has implications on the fair allocation of indivisible goods. In particular, we show that a consensus halving up to O(√{n log n}) goods always exists for n agents with monotone utilities. Previously, only an O(n) bound was known for this setting.
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Generative AI is reshaping software development, yet its psychological impact remains under-researched. During May and August 2025 we conducted reflexive thematic analysis of interviews with 12 senior engineers (≥5 years experience) recruited from Western technology hubs to explore shifts in professional identity. We identify a central transition from "coder to conductor," where AI acts as a cognitive partner. Key findings include: (1) a re-architecting of focus from implementation to strategy; (2) a shift in productivity metrics from output to impact; and (3) a dual-impact on agency, where AI empowers autonomy but threatens competence through de-skilling anxieties. These findings suggest that as implementation becomes commoditised, organisational training and career progression must prioritise architectural mastery and metacognitive oversight to ensure sustained developer motivation and system integrity.
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Observing long-lived longwave contrail forcing
Aarón Sonabend
Joe Ng
Atmospheric Measurement Techniques (2026)
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Contrail microphysical simulations and climate simulations have indicated that contrail cirrus cause a substantial fraction of aviation’s climate impact. While the approximations and parameter selections in these simulations have been well-validated over the past two decades, the heat trapping of contrails has not been observed using satellite data beyond a few hours. This is because contrails lose their linear shape after a few hours, making them difficult to distinguish from natural cirrus clouds. Here we provide satellite-driven analysis of long-lived heat trapping by contrails over North and South America. We aggregate a dataset of GOES-16 estimated outgoing longwave radiation and advected trace density of flight paths, and apply causal inference to discern the effect of contrails while controlling for radiative and cloud confounders. As a means of validation, we also generate synthetic datasets with known ground truth, and confirm that applying the causal inference method is able to recover the synthetic ground truth. Since this method yields an estimate which has some differences from both “instantaneous radiative forcing” (iRF) and “effective radiative forcing” (ERF) estimates which have been reported in the literature so far, we introduce the new term “observational radiative forcing, 12 hours” (oRF12). Our analysis estimates the longwave oRF12 from contrails over the Americas averaged 47.9 gigajoules per flight kilometer (95% CI: 31 to 52 GJ/km) during April 2019 to April 2020.
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Rank aggregation is a task of combining the rankings of items from multiple users into a single ranking that best represents the users' rankings. Alabi et al. (AAAI'22) presents differentially-private (DP) polynomial-time approximation schemes (PTASes) and 5-approximation algorithms with certain additive errors for the Kemeny rank aggregation problem in both central and local models. In this paper, we present improved DP PTASes with smaller additive error in the central model. Furthermore, we are first to study the footrule rank aggregation problem under DP. We give a near-optimal algorithm for this problem; as a corollary, this leads to 2-approximation algorithms with the same additive error as the 5-approximation algorithms of Alabi et al. for the Kemeny rank aggregation problem in both central and local models.
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Beyond Vector Similarity: Hierarchical Context-Aware Graph RAG vs Standard RAG in Enterprise Code Migration
Suddhasatwa Bhaumik
Nilesh Jaiswal
Arjit Shukla
Divya Malhotra
Aniket Agrawal
Saurabh Garg
Suchit Puri
Google Cloud India, Google, S. No, AP81, 83, N Main Rd, near Hard Rock Cafe, Koregaon Park Annexe, Mundhwa, Pune, Maharashtra 411036 (2026)
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As enterprises modernize legacy systems (e.g., monolithic Java architectures to Python microservices), Large Language Models (LLMs) have become instrumental in automated code translation.
However, traditional vector-based Retrieval-Augmented Generation (Standard RAG) struggles
with topological relationships, fetching isolated text chunks that frequently sever inheritance chains and lead to high compilation failure rates.
This paper presents a comparative analysis between Standard RAG and a novel Hierarchical
Context-Resident Graph (HCRG) methodology. Our pipeline utilizes tree-sitter for polyglot
Abstract Syntax Tree (AST) extraction, mapping architectural edges into a Google Cloud Spanner Property Graph, and serializing this structure into a Gemini (on Vertex AI) Context Cache to enable topological, parent-first code translation.
By shifting evaluation from naive text-overlap to a custom 7-metric framework measuring Software Engineering (SE) utility, empirical evaluations on the spring-petclinic-genai repository
demonstrate significant structural improvements. Graph RAG decisively mitigates dependency loss, dropping the API hallucination rate from 56.4% to 16.2%.
Furthermore, it improves Dependency Resolution Quality (DRQ) from 34.8% to
65.9% and enhances Parent-Child Consistency (PCC) from 26.7% to 45.5%. Interestingly, traditional lexical metrics fail to capture this divergence; both methodologies achieved
an identical 91% average CodeBLEU score, effectively masking Standard RAG’s structural
failures behind syntactically plausible but broken code.
However, the results indicate that Graph RAG is not strictly superior across all dimensions. Providing the LLM with dense, global structural context introduces new vulnerabilities: Graph RAG suffers a severe degradation in Cyclomatic Complexity Consistency
(dropping from Standard RAG’s 71.6% to 46.7%) due to defensive over-engineering
by the LLM, alongside a slight drop in Docstring Preservation (67.0% down to 61.0%)
caused by prompt attention dilution.
Ultimately, this research validates that while Graph RAG trades an increase in code complexity
for critical reductions in API hallucinations, it offers a substantially more viable and architecturally sound path for automated enterprise codebase modernisation.
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Validating conversational artificial intelligence (AI) for regulated medical software applications may present challenges, as static test datasets and manual review may be limited in identifying emergent, conversational anomalies. A multi-agent AI system may be configured in a closed-loop for automated validation. The system can, for example, utilize an end user persona simulator agent to generate prompts for a target model and a domain /regulatory expert adjudicator agent to evaluate the target model’s responses against a configurable rubric. A meta-analysis agent can analyze anomalies to identify underlying vulnerabilities, which may then be used to programmatically synthesize new adversarial personas. This adaptive process can generate evidence to support regulatory compliance and continuous performance monitoring for medical software algorithms systems.
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Automating AI research differs from general software engineering due to computationally expensive evaluation (e.g., model training) and opaque performance attribution. Current LLM-based agents struggle here, often generating monolithic scripts that ignore execution costs and causal factors. We introduce MARS (Modular Agent with Reflective Search), a framework optimized for autonomous AI research. MARS relies on three pillars: (1) Budget-Aware Planning via cost-constrained Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) to explicitly balance performance with execution expense; (2) Modular Construction, employing a "Design-Decompose-Implement" pipeline to manage complex research repositories; and (3) Comparative Reflective Memory, which addresses credit assignment by analyzing solution differences to distill high-signal insights. MARS achieves state-of-the-art performance among open-source frameworks on MLE-Bench under comparable settings, maintaining competitiveness with the global leaderboard's top methods. Furthermore, the system exhibits qualitative "Aha!" moments, where 63% of all utilized lessons originate from cross-branch transfer, demonstrating that the agent effectively generalizes insights across search paths.
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