Publications
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
Sort By
1 - 15 of 11423 publications
Observing long-lived longwave contrail forcing
Aarón Sonabend
Joe Ng
Atmospheric Measurement Techniques (2026)
Preview abstract
Contrail microphysical simulations and climate simulations have indicated that contrail cirrus cause a substantial fraction of aviation’s climate impact. While the approximations and parameter selections in these simulations have been well-validated over the past two decades, the heat trapping of contrails has not been observed using satellite data beyond a few hours. This is because contrails lose their linear shape after a few hours, making them difficult to distinguish from natural cirrus clouds. Here we provide satellite-driven analysis of long-lived heat trapping by contrails over North and South America. We aggregate a dataset of GOES-16 estimated outgoing longwave radiation and advected trace density of flight paths, and apply causal inference to discern the effect of contrails while controlling for radiative and cloud confounders. As a means of validation, we also generate synthetic datasets with known ground truth, and confirm that applying the causal inference method is able to recover the synthetic ground truth. Since this method yields an estimate which has some differences from both “instantaneous radiative forcing” (iRF) and “effective radiative forcing” (ERF) estimates which have been reported in the literature so far, we introduce the new term “observational radiative forcing, 12 hours” (oRF12). Our analysis estimates the longwave oRF12 from contrails over the Americas averaged 47.9 gigajoules per flight kilometer (95% CI: 31 to 52 GJ/km) during April 2019 to April 2020.
View details
Securing Elliptic Curve Cryptocurrencies against Quantum Vulnerabilities: Resource Estimates and Mitigations
Michael Broughton
Thiago Bergamaschi
Justin Drake
Dan Boneh
PRX Quantum, 7 (2026), pp. 031001
Preview abstract
The expected emergence of cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs) will represent a singular discontinuity in the history of digital security, with wide ranging impacts. This whitepaper seeks to elucidate specific implications that the capabilities of developing quantum architectures have on blockchain vulnerabilities and potential mitigation strategies. First, we provide new resource estimates for breaking the 256-bit Elliptic Curve Discrete Logarithm Problem over the secp256k1 curve, the core of modern blockchain cryptography. We demonstrate that Shor's algorithm for this problem can execute with either $\leq 1200$ logical qubits and $\leq 90$ million Toffoli gates or $\leq 1450$ logical qubits and $\leq 70$ million Toffoli gates. In the interest of responsible disclosure, we use a zero-knowledge proof to validate these results without disclosing attack vectors. On superconducting architectures with $10^{-3}$ physical error rates and planar connectivity, those circuits can execute in minutes using fewer than half a million physical qubits. We introduce a critical distinction between ``fast-clock'' (such as superconducting and photonic) and ``slow-clock'' (such as neutral atom and ion trap) architectures. Our analysis reveals that the first fast-clock CRQCs would enable ``on-spend'' attacks on public mempool transactions of some cryptocurrencies. We survey major cryptocurrency vulnerabilities through this lens, identifying systemic risks associated with advanced features in some blockchains such as smart contracts, Proof-of-Stake consensus, and Data Availability Sampling mechanism, as well as the enduring concern of ``abandoned'' assets. We argue that technical solutions would benefit from accompanying public policy and discuss various frameworks of ``digital salvage'' to regulate the recovery or destruction of dormant assets while preventing adversarial seizure. We also discuss implications for other digital assets and tokenization as well as challenges and successful examples of the ongoing transition to Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC). Finally, we urge all vulnerable cryptocurrency communities to join the migration to PQC without delay.
View details
Expert evaluation of LLM world models: A high-Tc superconductivity case study
Haoyu Guo
Maria Tikhanovskaya
Paul Raccuglia
Alexey Vlaskin
Chris Co
Scott Ellsworth
Matthew Abraham
Lizzie Dorfman
Peter Armitage
Chunhan Feng
Antoine Georges
Olivier Gingras
Dominik Kiese
Steve Kivelson
Vadim Oganesyan
Brad Ramshaw
Subir Sachdev
Senthil Todadri
John Tranquada
Eun-Ah Kim
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2026)
Preview abstract
Large Language Models (LLMs) show great promise as a powerful tool for scientific literature exploration. However, their effectiveness in providing scientifically accurate and comprehensive answers to complex questions within specialized domains remains an active area of research. This work evaluates the performance of six different LLM-based systems for answering scientific literature questions, including commercially available closed models and a custom retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) system capable of retrieving images alongside text. We conduct a rigorous expert evaluation of the systems in the domain of high-temperature cuprate superconductors, a research area that involves material science, experimental physics, computation, and theoretical physics. We use an expert-curated database of 1726 scientific papers and a set of 67 expert-formulated questions. The evaluation employs a multi-faceted rubric assessing balanced perspectives, factual comprehensiveness, succinctness, evidentiary support, and image relevance. Our results demonstrate that RAG-based systems, powered by curated data and multimodal retrieval, outperform existing closed models across key metrics, particularly in providing comprehensive and well-supported answers, and in retrieving relevant visual information. This study provides valuable insights into designing and evaluating specialized scientific literature understanding systems, particularly with expert involvement, while also highlighting the importance of rich, domain-specific data in such systems.
View details
Preview abstract
e introduce a new Bayesian perspective on the concept of data reconstruction, and leverage this viewpoint to propose a new security definition that, in certain settings, provably prevents reconstruction attacks. We use our paradigm to shed new light on one of the most notorious attacks in the privacy and memorization literature - fingerprinting code attacks (FPC). We argue that these attacks are really a form of membership inference attacks, rather than reconstruction attacks. Furthermore, we show that if the goal is solely to prevent reconstruction (but not membership inference), then in some cases the impossibility results derived from FPC no longer apply.
View details
Understanding U.S. Users' Security and Privacy Transparency Needs for Consumer-Facing Generative AI
Jiaxun Cao
Yu Dong
Chunxi Zhan
Rithvik Neti
Pardis Emami-Naeini
USENIX Symposium on Usable Privacy and Security (SOUPS) (2026)
Preview abstract
Users increasingly rely on consumer-facing generative AI (GenAI) for tasks ranging from everyday needs to sensitive use cases. Yet, it remains unclear whether and how existing security and privacy (S&P) communications in GenAI tools shape users’ adoption decisions and experiences. Understanding how users seek, interpret, and evaluate S&P information is critical for designing usable transparency that users can trust and act on. We conducted semi-structured interviews and design sessions with 21 U.S. GenAI users. Our findings suggest that available S&P information rarely drove initial adoption in practice, as participants often perceived it as incomplete, ineffective, or not credible. Instead, they relied on rough proxies (e.g., popularity) to infer S&P practices. After adoption, S&P uncertainty constrained participants’ willingness to use GenAI tools, especially for high-stakes purposes, and, in some cases, contributed to discontinued use. Participants therefore called for transparency that supports decisions and actions through trustworthy information (e.g., independent evaluations) and usable interfaces (e.g., on-demand disclosure). We categorize participants’ desired design practices into five dimensions to facilitate systematic future investigation into best practices. We conclude with recommendations for researchers, designers, and policymakers to improve S&P transparency in consumer-facing GenAI.
View details
Preview abstract
Every team building Large Language Models (LLMs) faces a core challenge: offline benchmarks show performance gains and user engagement rises post deployment, but isolating cause from effect remains difficult. Simultaneous marketing, media coverage, and seasonal demand obscure whether model updates truly drive engagement gains. This paper presents a novel causal estimation approach that leverages non uniform quality improvements across capabilities within a single model version. Because capabilities improve unevenly (e.g., strong gains in coding versus modest gains in writing), users experience varied quality depending on their task distribution. This variation in experienced quality provides causal signal for estimation. We validate this approach on synthetic data with known ground truth. The raw estimator recovers 81% to 88% of the true effect, with the remainder lost to measurement error in usage estimates. Applying an errors in variables disattenuation adjustment (using a test retest reliability ratio mean correlation of 0.861) corrects the estimate to 1.017 (bootstrapped 95% CI: 0.915 to 1.109). By contrast, naive methods fail significantly, recovering only 63% without version controls and 62% using real time rather than frozen usage patterns. Permutation tests confirm the framework distinguishes true causal effects from noise. Sensitivity analysis indicates recovery improves monotonically from 78% to 87% as pre period length increases from 3 to 7 weeks, highlighting a clear tradeoff between sample duration and estimator precision. Seed sensitivity tests further confirm stability across random draws.
View details
Preview abstract
We introduce AMS (Activation-based Model Scanner), a tool that detects modifications to safety training in language models by measuring the geometric structure of safety-relevant concepts in activation space. Safety training creates measurable separation between harmful and benign content classes; certain safety modifications collapse or rotate this structure, while others leave it intact. We validate AMS across 14 model configurations spanning 4 architecture families (Llama, Gemma, Qwen, Mistral) and four safety-modification categories (instruction-tuned, base, abliterated, uncensored fine-tunes). Leave-one-out cross-validation of thresholds achieves 71% accuracy (10/14); bootstrap 95% confidence intervals on σ point estimates have median width 3.4σ and a substantial fraction of cells cross the PASS threshold under resampling. We further measure behavioral compliance on 20 stratified JailbreakBench prompts per model and find that σ on the harmful-content concept predicts compliance with Pearson r=−0.546 ( p=0.043 ); the rank-order Spearman correlation is weaker ( ρ=−0.423 , p=0.13 ). The structural signal predicts behavior directionally but with meaningful noise. Mechanistic analysis identifies a four-class taxonomy of safety-training modifications distinguished by activation-space signature: 1) training removal collapses cluster separation (e.g., base models, Dolphin variants: 0.5– 1.4σ ); 2) weight-orthogonalization-style abliteration both collapses separation and rotates the refusal direction (Llama-3.1-abliterated: σ=3.33 , direction cos sim 0.30); 3) rotation-without-collapse abliteration preserves cluster separation while rotating the refusal direction (Gemma-2-9b-abliterated: σ=4.54 , direction cos sim 0.84); and 4) behavioral fine-tuning that preserves both magnitude and direction (DarkIdol-1.2-Uncensored: σ=5.45 , direction preserved, 97% behavioral compliance). 1) and 2) AMS’s Tier 1 σ -threshold detects classes; 3) Tier 2 direction-similarity verification detects class; and 4) Class is undetectable by activation-only probing and represents a documented failure mode of the approach. We discuss threshold calibration, limitations of single-run measurement, and the open problem of detecting behavioral-only safety modifications.
View details
Vibe Coding XR: Accelerating AI + XR Prototyping with XR Blocks and Gemini
Benjamin Hersh
Jiahao Ren
Xingyue Chen
Robert Timothy Bettridge
Faraz Faruqi
Anthony 'Xiang' Chen
Steve Toh
Google XR, Google (2026)
Preview abstract
While large language models have accelerated software development through "vibe coding", prototyping intelligent Extended Reality (XR) experiences remains inaccessible due to the friction of complex game engines and low-level sensor integration. To bridge this gap, we contribute XR Blocks, an open-source, modular WebXR framework that abstracts spatial computing complexities into high-level, human-centered primitives. Building upon this foundation, we present Vibe Coding XR, an end-to-end rapid prototyping workflow that leverages LLMs to translate natural language intent directly into functional XR software. Using a web-based interface, creators can transform high-level prompts (e.g., "create a dandelion that reacts to hand") into interactive WebXR applications in under a minute. We provide a preliminary technical evaluation on a pilot dataset (VCXR60) alongside diverse application scenarios highlighting mixed-reality realism, multi-modal interaction, and generative AI integrations. By democratizing spatial software creation, this work empowers practitioners to bypass low-level hurdles and rapidly move from "idea to reality." Code and live demos are available at https://xrblocks.github.io/gem and https://github.com/google/xrblocks.
View details
Preview abstract
As artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly integrated into healthcare, ensuring that this innovation helps to combat health inequities requires engaging marginalized communities in health AI futuring. However, little research has examined Black populations’ perspectives on the use of AI in health contexts, despite the widespread health inequities they experience–inequities that are already perpetuated by AI. Addressing this research gap, through qualitative workshops with 18 Black adults, we characterize participants’ cautious optimism for health AI addressing structural well-being barriers (e.g., by providing second opinions that introduce fairness into an unjust healthcare system), and their concerns that AI will worsen health inequities (e.g., through health AI biases they deemed inevitable and the problematic reality of having to trust healthcare providers to use AI equitably). We advance health AI research by articulating previously-unreported health AI perspectives from a population experiencing significant health inequities, and presenting key considerations for future work.
View details
Preview abstract
Modern user interfaces are complex composites, with elements originating from various sources, such as the operating system, apps, a web browser, or websites. Many security and privacy models implicitly depend on users correctly identifying an element's source, a concept we term ''surface attribution.'' Through two large-scale vignette-based surveys (N=4,400 and N=3,057), we present the first empirical measurement of this ability.
We find that users struggle, correctly attributing UI source only 55% of the time on desktop and 53% on mobile. Familiarity and strong brand cues significantly improve accuracy, whereas UI positioning, a long-held security design concept especially for browsers, has minimal impact. Furthermore, simply adding a ''Security & Privacy'' brand cue to Android permission prompts failed to improve attribution. These findings demonstrate a fundamental gap in users' mental models, indicating that relying on them to distinguish trusted UI is a fragile security paradigm.
View details
Twenty years of Bigtable
Fabio Baltieri
Bora Beran
Igor Bernstein
Aimee Borda
Adrian Chan
Mark D'Andrea
Artak Dashyan
Ramesh Dharan
Gabor Dinnyes
Mike Dominguez
dorland .
Jose Duenas
Gary Elliott
Bruno Furtado
Madison Garcia
Marçal Garolera Huguet
Brendan Gleason
Alexis Hawkins
Anoshak Irani
Rohit Jog
Sudarshan Kadambi
Vikram Khemka
Sailesh Krishnamurthy
Maxim Krivokon
Bruce Lee
Tom Magrino
Matt Maly
Mark Mangrich
Douglas McErlean
Pablo Montes
Li Moore
Eduardo Morales
Greg Morris
Steve Niemitz
Gaurav Prabhu Gaonkar
Jim Rutherford
Stephen Ryan
Sho Saha
Kanoj Sarcar
Cristina Schmidt
Andrii Shyshkalov
Pratibha Suryadevara
Nick Suttle
Anvit Tawar
John Tobin
Justin Uang
Phaneendhar Vemuru
Harendra Verma
Shitanshu Verma
Jinghang (Frank) Wang
Michal Wegorek
Simon Yau
Andrius Ziukas
SIGMOD Companion '26: Companion of the International Conference on Management of Data, ACM (2026), pp. 188-200
Preview abstract
Bigtable is a pioneering and influential non-relational database system. The original Bigtable paper has been widely cited and it inspired and influenced many other systems such as HBase and Cassandra. Since then, Bigtable has continued to grow and has become one of the largest database systems inside Google. In this paper, we tell the journey of Bigtable inside Google for the last twenty years. We present new features added and improvements made to Bigtable, and we share our experience of running this storage system at scale, continually improving all aspects to accommodate the ever-growing demands of users.
View details
Performance analysis of updated Sleep Tracking algorithms across Google and Fitbit wearable devices
Arno Charton
Linda Lei
Siddhant Swaroop
Marius Guerard
Michael Dixon
Logan Niehaus
Shao-Po Ma
Ross Wilkinson
Ryan Gillard
Conor Heneghan
Pramod Rudrapatna
Mark Malhotra
Shwetak Patel
Google, Google, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway
Mountain View, CA 94043 (2026) (to appear)
Preview abstract
Background: The general public has increasingly adopted consumer wearables for sleep tracking over the past 15 years, but reports on performance versus gold standards such as polysomnogram (PSG), high quality sleep diaries and at-home portable EEG systems still show potential for improved performance. Two aspects in particular are worthy of consideration: (a) improved recognition of sleep sessions (times when a person is in bed and has attempted to sleep), and (b) improved accuracy on recognizing sleep stages relative to an accepted standard such as PSG.
Aims: This study aimed to: 1) provide an update on the methodology and performance of a system for correctly recognizing valid sleep sessions, and 2) detail an updated description of how sleep stages are calculated using accelerometer and inter-beat intervals
Methods: Novel machine learning algorithms were developed to recognize sleep sessions and sleep stages using accelerometer sensors and inter-beat intervals derived from the watch or tracker photoplethysmogram. Algorithms were developed on over 3000 nights of human-scored free-living sleep sessions from a representative population of 122 subjects, and then tested on an independent validation set of 47 users. Within sleep sessions, an algorithm was developed to recognize periods when the user was attempting to sleep (Time-Attempting-To-Sleep = TATS). For sleep stage estimation, an algorithm was trained on human expert-scored polysomnograms, and then tested on 50 withheld subject nights for its ability to recognize Wake, Light (N1/N2), Deep (N3) and REM sleep relative to expert scored labels.
Results: For sleep session estimation, the algorithm had at least 95% overlap on TATS with human consensus scoring for 94% of nights from healthy sleepers. For sleep stage estimation, comparing with the current Fitbit algorithm, Cohen’s kappa for four-class determination of sleep stage increased from an average of 0.56 (std 0.13) to 0.63 (std 0.12), and average accuracy increased from 71% (std 0.10) to 77% (std 0.078)
Conclusion: A set of new algorithms has been developed and tested on Fitbit and Pixel Watches and is capable of providing robust and accurate measurement of sleep in free-living environments.
View details
Preview abstract
This talk addresses the challenges of operating Google's monitoring systems at scale, handling terabytes of telemetry data and preventing overload from diverse workloads. We'll explore how Google's internal client library and Monarch, its planet-scale time-series database, work together for cost-effective data collection. Key principles include a distributed push model, dynamic client-side data reduction, centralized retention, and periodic metric analysis. The session will then bridge these concepts to the open-source world, discussing our work with OpenTelemetry's OpAMP protocol to achieve similar scalable and efficient telemetry collection. Attendees will gain insights into adapting these principles for cost savings and learn about our collaboration with the OpAMP SIG to benefit the broader community.
View details
A Computer Vision Problem in Flatland
Erin Connelly
Annalisa Crannell
Timothy Duff
Rekha R. Thomas
SIAM Journal on Applied Algebra and Geometry, 10 (2026), pp. 14-45
Preview abstract
When is it possible to project two sets of labeled points of equal cardinality lying in a pair of projective planes to the same image on a projective line? We give a complete answer to this question, obtaining the following results. We first show that such a pair of projections exist if and only if the two point sets are themselves images of a common point set in projective space. Moreover, we find that for generic pairs of point sets, a common projection exists if and only if their cardinality is at most seven. In these cases, we give an explicit description of the loci of projection centers that enable a common image.
View details
