- Stephan Rasp
- Stephan Hoyer
- Alex Merose
- Ian Langmore
- Peter Battaglia
- Tyler Russell
- Alvaro Sanchez
- Vivian Yang
- Rob Carver
- Shreya Agrawal
- Matthew Chantry
- Zied Ben Bouallegue
- Peter Dueben
- Carla Bromberg
- Jared Sisk
- Luke Barrington
- Aaron Bell
- Fei Sha
Abstract
WeatherBench 2 is an update to the global, medium-range (1-14 day) weather forecasting benchmark proposed by Rasp et al. (2020), designed with the aim to accelerate progress in data-driven weather modeling. WeatherBench 2 consists of an open-source evaluation framework, publicly available training, ground truth and baseline data as well as a continuously updated website with the latest metrics and state-of-the-art models: https://sites.research.google/weatherbench. This paper describes the design principles of the evaluation framework and presents results for current state-of-the-art physical and data-driven weather models. The metrics are based on established practices for evaluating weather forecasts at leading operational weather centers. We define a set of headline scores to provide an overview of model performance. In addition, we also discuss caveats in the current evaluation setup and challenges for the future of data-driven weather forecasting.
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