Publications
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
Our teams aspire to make discoveries that impact everyone, and core to our approach is sharing our research and tools to fuel progress in the field.
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1 - 15 of 11420 publications
Preview abstract
Here’s a thought experiment. Say I wave a magic wand across a codebase and an entire class of technical debt, poof, goes away and immediately evaporates if introduced in the future. For example, maybe I make it so that dead feature flags are simply no longer a problem: they just delete themselves as soon as the engineer wills it. Or maybe large-scale migrations just migrate themselves. Maybe we magically have 100% test coverage, without an engineer lifting a finger.
What will happen to developer productivity?
Surely, developer productivity increases overall.
But will the productivity metrics that we all use as a proxy for “developer productivity” move up and to the right. Let’s explore this idea.
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Learning Conditional Averages
Marco Bressan
Nataly Brukhim
Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi
Emmanuel Esposito
Shay Moran
Maximilian Thiessen
COLT (2026)
Preview abstract
We introduce the problem of learning \emph{conditional averages} in the PAC framework.
The learner receives a sample labeled by an unknown target concept from a known concept class, as in standard PAC learning. However, instead of learning the target concept itself, the goal is to predict, for each instance, the average label over its \emph{neighborhood}---an arbitrary subset of points that contains the instance.
In the degenerate case where all neighborhoods are singletons, the problem reduces exactly to classic PAC learning. More generally, it extends PAC learning to a setting that captures learning tasks arising in several domains, including explainability, fairness, and recommendation systems. %including explainability, fairness, and recommendation systems.
Our main contribution is a complete characterization of when conditional averages are learnable, together with sample complexity bounds that are tight up to logarithmic factors. The characterization hinges on the joint finiteness of two novel combinatorial parameters, which depend on both the concept class and the neighborhood system, and are closely related to the independence number of the associated neighborhood graph.
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An Empirical Study of Tablet Ergonomics: The Interplay of Temperature, Orientation, and Use Behaviors
Carmen Van Ommen
Mikki Phan
Arun Raghupathy
Daniel Huynh
Barbara Chaparro
Ergonomics in Design: The Quarterly of Human Factors Applications Journal (2026)
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To balance computational performance with thermal comfort, this study explores a consolidated hotspot architecture at the top center of a tablet. We tested hotspot (39°C, 43°C, 45°C, 47°C) and ambient temperatures (25°C, 35°C) with 60 participants, measuring perception, action likelihood, and expectation. The hotspot was observed away from high contact areas, with 43°C identified as the threshold for significant discomfort. Discomfort increased with portrait mode use and higher device and ambient temperatures, while active use duration influenced acceptability. The findings underscore the importance of thermal mapping and contextual sensing, with direct applications for software throttling thresholds of coated aluminum enclosures.
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Preview abstract
Distributed federated SQL query engines frequently
materialize query results into files in data lakes. Optimizing the
sizes of these files (e.g., balancing their sizes) is crucial for the
efficiency of not only the materialization queries themselves, but
also subsequent queries that read these files. Existing techniques
to manage file size include specifying output targets (e.g., number
of partitions), using cardinality estimation for materialized data
volume, performing full shuffles prior to materialization to obtain
accurate statistics, and/or post (background) compactions to
merge small files. All of these solutions have limitations in
practice; they typically do not provide any strong guarantees or
can be prohibitively expensive when they do (e.g., they require
background compactions to merge small files, which requires
additional I/O and CPU cost). Most of the existing techniques
can produce many small files during materialization and are
sensitive to data skew.
In this paper, we propose a novel method that streamlines
materialization within the same query execution and provides
guarantees on the file sizes using statistics at runtime. Our
approach does not require a full shuffle before the materialization
operator in order to get accurate statistics, making it attractive
and robust in practice. To show the effectiveness of our approach,
we present production metrics from F1 Query at Google that has
been running this functionality for the majority of its production
workload over many quarters. Our approach reduces the number
of files produced by a factor of 100 or more, and as a result,
it avoids creating tens of billions of files per day, saving storage
and computation cost.
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ConvApparel: A Benchmark Dataset and Validation Framework for User Simulators in Conversational Recommenders
Ofer Meshi
Guy Tennenholtz
Jihwan Jeong
Proceedings of the 19th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (EACL-26), Rabat, Morocco (2026), pp. 5270-5304
Preview abstract
LLM-based user simulators are a scalable solution for improving conversational AI, but a critical realism gap undermines their effectiveness. To close this gap, we introduce a framework for building and validating high-fidelity simulators. We present a novel dataset of human-AI shopping conversations designed to capture a wide spectrum of user experiences. To measure fidelity, we propose a hybrid evaluation protocol that combines statistical alignment with a learned, discriminator-based Human-Likeness Score. Our most sophisticated simulator, trained via reinforcement learning with iterative critique, achieves a significant leap in realism. Critically, we demonstrate through counterfactual validation that our simulator—trained exclusively on optimal interactions—realistically adapts its behavior to suboptimal system responses, mirroring real user reactions and marking a key advance in creating reliable simulators for robust AI development.
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Leveraging LLMs to Understand Public Perception of Earthquake Early Warnings: A Case Study of the 2025 M6.2 Türkiye Earthquake
Hanjing Wang
Marc Stogaitis
Youngmin Cho
Richard Allen
Boone Spooner
Patrick Robertson
Greg Wimpey
Robert Bosch
Nivetha Thiruverahan
Steve Malkos
Alexei Barski
Tajinder Gadh
Scientific Reports, 16 (2026), pp. 22226
Preview abstract
Android's Earthquake Alert (AEA) system provided life-saving early warnings to millions during the M6.2 Marmara Ereğlisi, Türkiye earthquake on April 23, 2025. This event, the largest in the region in 25 years, served as a critical real-world test for smartphone-based Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) systems. The AEA system successfully delivered alerts to users with high precision, offering over a minute of warning before the strongest shaking reached urban areas. This study leveraged Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze 560 public social media posts from the X platform, extracting 42 distinct attributes related to user experience and behavior. Statistical analyses revealed significant relationships, notably a strong correlation between user trust and alert timeliness. Key findings indicate that alerts received before shaking, clear information, and audible notifications significantly increased the likelihood of active protective responses and enhanced perceived usefulness and future trust in the system. Conversely, annoyance and perceived inaccuracy led to inaction and diminished trust. The study highlights the profound impact of smartphone-based EEW in mitigating seismic risk, providing actionable insights for optimizing alert design, public education campaigns, and future behavioral research to improve the effectiveness of such systems in seismically active regions.
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This study examines the psychological and ethical implications of generative-AI chatbot use among youth, introducing the CTRL framework (Cognitive Trust, Reliance, and Learning Diminution) to explain how repeated use fosters cognitive offloading and reduced verification behavior. Survey data from 420 participants analyzed through factor analysis and structural equation modeling reveal that higher trust predicts greater reliance and diminished critical evaluation, alongside elevated concerns around privacy and academic integrity. Findings highlight the need for AI literacy and responsible design to mitigate unintended cognitive impacts.
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Preview abstract
Object-Counting for remote-sensing (RS) imagery is raising increasing research interest due to its crucial role in a wide and diverse set of applications. While several promising methods for RS object-counting have been proposed, existing methods focus on a closed, pre-defined set of object classes. This limitation necessitates costly re-annotation and model re-training to adapt current approaches for counting of novel objects that have not been seen during training, and severely inhibits their application in dynamic, real-world monitoring scenarios.
To address this gap, in this work we propose RS-OVC - an adaptation of existing work for Open Vocabulary Counting (OVC) approach from general computer vision to the RS domain. We show that our model is capable of accurate counting of novel object classes, that are unseen during training, based solely on textual and/or visual conditioning.
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Preview abstract
Online video platforms face an exponential challenge
in detecting and mitigating the flood of AI-generated “slop”
and synthetic spam perpetuated by coordinated malicious actors.
This content is increasingly designed to exploit the limitations
of traditional media forensics, often utilizing generative AI to
produce unique, localized variations of harmful or low-quality
material at scale. Traditional content-centric moderation fails
against this coordinated, adversarial generation strategy.
This paper presents a novel, scalable detection and classifi-
cation framework designed for online video platforms (OVP) to
identify and triage clusters of coordinated accounts exhibiting
a prevalence of adversarial synthetic content. The approach
leverages a multi-faceted architecture incorporating two core
machine learning components: a robust Coordinated Bot-Net
Detector (via Account Relatedness) and a Synthetic Pattern Clas-
sifier. Crucially, we introduce an advanced AI enhancement layer
utilizing Large Language Models (LLMs), specialized via Low-
Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and Automatic Prompt Optimization
(APO), to achieve rapid, high-precision semantic understanding
of emerging synthetic spam trends.
Evaluated across a representative evaluation dataset (N =
16, 250 weekly candidate channels across six major synthetic
abuse verticals), the system demonstrates high precision (FPR <
0.05%) in identifying coordinated synthetic spam networks.
Furthermore, the LLM-driven classification achieves a 74%
automated triage routing rate, saving over 1, 100 operational
review hours per week while reducing investigation turnaround
times by up to 50% (p < 0.001). This work details a critical
system design that provides essential scalability and adversarial
resilience against sophisticated generative attacks.
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Observing long-lived longwave contrail forcing
Aarón Sonabend
Joe Ng
Atmospheric Measurement Techniques (2026)
Preview abstract
Contrail microphysical simulations and climate simulations have indicated that contrail cirrus cause a substantial fraction of aviation’s climate impact. While the approximations and parameter selections in these simulations have been well-validated over the past two decades, the heat trapping of contrails has not been observed using satellite data beyond a few hours. This is because contrails lose their linear shape after a few hours, making them difficult to distinguish from natural cirrus clouds. Here we provide satellite-driven analysis of long-lived heat trapping by contrails over North and South America. We aggregate a dataset of GOES-16 estimated outgoing longwave radiation and advected trace density of flight paths, and apply causal inference to discern the effect of contrails while controlling for radiative and cloud confounders. As a means of validation, we also generate synthetic datasets with known ground truth, and confirm that applying the causal inference method is able to recover the synthetic ground truth. Since this method yields an estimate which has some differences from both “instantaneous radiative forcing” (iRF) and “effective radiative forcing” (ERF) estimates which have been reported in the literature so far, we introduce the new term “observational radiative forcing, 12 hours” (oRF12). Our analysis estimates the longwave oRF12 from contrails over the Americas averaged 47.9 gigajoules per flight kilometer (95% CI: 31 to 52 GJ/km) during April 2019 to April 2020.
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Preview abstract
Enterprise service delivery platforms, while vital for HR operations, create significant challenges in managing the risks of Personally Identifiable Information (PII) exposure. The integration of Generative AI offers new efficiencies but also amplifies these risks. Existing solutions—ranging from manual redaction and rule-based Data Loss Prevention (DLP) to inflexible data masking—fail to provide a nuanced, integrated approach. This paper introduces the Dual-Mode Privacy Guard (DMPG), a conceptual framework that establishes a model for Augmented Compliance. The framework provides a "defense-in-depth" strategy built on three pillars: (1) a Zero-Trust AI Foundation leveraging a verifiable, non-retention API gateway to ensure data privacy; (2) a proactive "Guardrail" that uses AI to detect and flag potential PII for human-in-the-loop review; and (3) an on-demand "Tool" that allows users to create securely anonymized data assets. By differentiating between proactive monitoring and reactive utility, the DMPG shifts the compliance paradigm from a manual burden to an AI-assisted process that enhances, rather than replaces, human oversight. This paper details the framework’s platform-agnostic architecture, using Salesforce as a reference implementation, and argues for its novelty as a model for operationalizing privacy principles within modern enterprise systems.
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A Dynamic Numerical Model for Real-Time Estimation of Latent Cognitive States Using Oculomotor Metrics
Diako Mardanbegi
ICASSP 2026-2026 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP), pp. 22087-22091
Preview abstract
Estimating internal cognitive states from oculomotor data is fundamentally challenging due to their context-dependency and the complex relationship between various metrics. This paper proposes a dynamic numerical framework to model a task-specific behavioral signature and monitor deviations from it in real-time. The model integrates key oculomotor and motion metrics into a differential equation, yielding a continuous score that serves as an estimate of a latent cognitive state. By using tunable, heuristic parameters, our approach offers a transparent and adaptable alternative to opaque machine learning models. The framework’s strength lies in its ability to pinpoint objective changes in behavior, providing a potential tool for interpreting events like the onset of fatigue, distraction, or cognitive load.
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Preview abstract
The fundamental theorem of statistical learning establishes that binary PAC learning is governed by a single parameter---the Vapnik-Chervonenkis ($\mathtt{VC}$) dimension---which controls both learnability and sample complexity. Extending this characterization to multiclass classification has long been challenging, since the early work of Natarajan in the late 80's that proposed the Natarajan dimension ($\mathtt{Nat}$) as a natural analogue of the VC dimension.
Daniely and Shalev-Shwartz (2014) introduced the $\mathtt{DS}$ dimension, later shown by Brukhim et al.\ (2022) to characterize multiclass \emph{learnability}.
Brukhim et al.\ (2022) also demonstrated that the Natarajan and $\mathtt{DS}$ dimensions can diverge arbitrarily, so that multiclass learning appears to be governed by $\mathtt{DS}$ rather than $\mathtt{Nat}$.
We show that the agnostic multiclass PAC sample complexity is in fact governed by \emph{two distinct dimensions}. Specifically, we prove nearly tight agnostic sample complexity bounds that, up to logarithmic factors, take the form
$$
\frac{\mathtt{DS}^{1.5}}{\epsilon} + \frac{\mathtt{Nat}}{\epsilon^2}
$$
where $\epsilon$ is the excess risk. This bound is tight up to a $\sqrt{\mathtt{DS}}$ factor in the first lower-order term, nearly matching known $\mathtt{Nat}/\epsilon^2$ and $\mathtt{DS}/\epsilon$ lower bounds.
The first term reflects the DS-controlled regime, while the second reveals that the Natarajan dimension still dictates asymptotic behavior for small $\epsilon$. Thus, unlike in binary or online classification---where a single dimension (VC or Littlestone) controls both phenomena---multiclass learning inherently involves \emph{two structural parameters}.
Our technical approach departs significantly from traditional agnostic learning methods based on uniform convergence or reductions-to-realizable techniques. A key ingredient is a novel online procedure, based on a self-adaptive multiplicative-weights algorithm which performs a label-space reduction. This approach may be of independent interest and find further applications.
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A Theoretical Framework for Modular Learning of Robust Generative Models
Proceedings of the 43rd International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2026)
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Training large-scale generative models is resource-intensive and relies heavily on heuristic dataset weighting. We address two fundamental questions: Can we train Large Language Models (LLMs) modularly, combining small, domain-specific experts to match monolithic performance, and can we do so robustly for any data mixture, eliminating heuristic tuning? We present a theoretical framework for modular generative modeling where a set of pre-trained experts are combined via a gating mechanism. We define the space of normalized gating functions $\mathcal{G}_{1}$ and formulate the problem as a minimax game to find a single robust gate that minimizes divergence to the worst-case data mixture. We prove the existence of such a robust gate using Kakutani's fixed-point theorem and show that modularity acts as a strong regularizer, with generalization bounds scaling with the lightweight gate's complexity. Furthermore, we prove that this modular approach can theoretically outperform models retrained on aggregate data, with the gap characterized by the Jensen-Shannon Divergence. Finally, we introduce a scalable Stochastic Primal-Dual algorithm and a Structural Distillation method for efficient inference. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world datasets confirm that our modular architecture effectively mitigates gradient conflict and can robustly outperform monolithic baselines.
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Preview abstract
We study contextual bandits in the stochastic i.i.d.\ setting, where a learner observes contexts drawn from an unknown distribution, selects actions from a finite set $\cA$, and aims to identify an approximately optimal policy from a given class based on bandit feedback.
Motivated by the important special case of bandit multiclass classification with zero-one rewards, we focus on the \emph{$s$-sparse} setting in which, for every context, the underlying reward vector has $L_1$-norm at most $s \ll |\cA|$. Our main result is the design of algorithms that, with probability at least~$1-\delta$, output an $\eps$-optimal policy compared to policy class $\Pi$ using
\begin{align*}
\wt{O} \brk*{\brk*{\frac{s}{\eps^2} + \frac{|\cA|}{\eps}} \log \frac{|\Pi|}{\delta}}
\end{align*}
samples.
We further extend this bound to general Natarajan classes and complement it with a matching lower bound (up to logarithmic factors), thereby closing a substantial gap left by prior work~\citep{erez2024real,erez2024fast,erez2025bandit}, which incurred an additional $\Theta(|\cA|^9)$ dependence.
We obtain these results via two complementary approaches. First, we analyze contextual bandits through the lens of contextual decision making with structured observations, designing an exploration-by-optimization algorithm whose sample complexity is governed by the \emph{decision-estimation coefficient} (DEC; \citealp{foster2021statistical,foster2022complexity}). We show that, with $s$-sparse rewards, the induced model class admits a sharp DEC bound that scales with $s$ and directly yields the optimal rate. Since this approach is largely information-theoretic and involves solving complex min-max optimization problems, we also develop a second, more specialized algorithmic method based on a low-variance exploration technique. This approach leads to concrete, tractable algorithms and naturally extends to contextual combinatorial semi-bandits, leading to improved sample complexity guarantees for bandit multiclass list classification.
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