Fernando V. Bonassi
Fernando V. Bonassi graduated with his PhD in Statistics from Duke University in 2013. He also holds BS and MS degrees in Statistics from the University of Sao Paulo (Brazil). He joined Google in 2013, where he works as quantitative analyst. His major research interests include Bayesian computation, dynamic modeling, decision analysis, among other topics.
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Bayes and Big Data: The Consensus Monte Carlo Algorithm
Steven L. Scott
Alexander W. Blocker
Hugh A. Chipman
Edward I. George
Robert E. McCulloch
International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management, 11 (2016), pp. 78-88
Preview abstract
A useful definition of ``big data'' is data that is too big to
comfortably process on a single machine, either because of
processor, memory, or disk bottlenecks. Graphics processing units
can alleviate the processor bottleneck, but memory or disk
bottlenecks can only be eliminated by splitting data across multiple
machines. Communication between large numbers of machines is
expensive (regardless of the amount of data being communicated), so
there is a need for algorithms that perform distributed approximate
Bayesian analyses with minimal communication. Consensus Monte Carlo
operates by running a separate Monte Carlo algorithm on each
machine, and then averaging individual Monte Carlo draws across
machines. Depending on the model, the resulting draws can be nearly
indistinguishable from the draws that would have been obtained by
running a single machine algorithm for a very long time. Examples
of consensus Monte Carlo are shown for simple models where
single-machine solutions are available, for large single-layer
hierarchical models, and for Bayesian additive regression trees
(BART).
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