FireBench: A High-fidelity Ensemble Simulation Framework for Exploring Wildfire Behavior and Data-driven Modeling

Matthias Ihme
Yi-fan Chen
John Anderson
Cenk Gazen
Arxiv (2024)

Abstract

Background. Wildfire research uses ensemble methods to analyze fire behaviors and assess
uncertainties. Nonetheless, current research methods are either confined to simple models
or complex simulations with limits. Modern computing tools could allow for efficient, high-
fidelity ensemble simulations. Aims. This study proposes a high-fidelity ensemble wildfire
simulation framework for studying wildfire behavior, ML tasks, fire-risk assessment, and
uncertainty analysis. Methods. In this research, we present a simulation framework that
integrates the Swirl-Fire large-eddy simulation tool for wildfire predictions with the Vizier
optimization platform for automated run-time management of ensemble simulations and
large-scale batch processing. All simulations are executed on tensor-processing units to
enhance computational efficiency. Key results. A dataset of 117 simulations is created,
each with 1.35 billion mesh points. The simulations are compared to existing experimental
data and show good agreement in terms of fire rate of spread. Computations are done for
fire acceleration, mean rate of spread, and fireline intensity. Conclusions. Strong coupling
between these 2 parameters are observed for the fire spread and intermittency. A critical
Froude number that delineates fires from plume-driven to convection-driven is identified and
confirmed with literature observations. Implications. The ensemble simulation framework
is efficient in facilitating parametric wildfire studies.