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TV Impact on Online Searches

Ying Liu
Jim Koehler
Google Inc. (2017)

Abstract

We study the impact of TV advertising on viewers' online search behaviors. In particular, we develop methodologies to estimate the incremental searches that can be causally attributed to TV ad spots, based on Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) models. Simulation studies show that the TV induced incremental search volumes can be accurately estimated in most cases. Our work provides a way of comparing incremental searches from TV v.s. digital. We demonstrate our methods with a case study, and present the insights that can be generated by such analyses.