Global monitoring of methane point sources using deep learning on hyperspectral radiance measurements from EMIT

Anthropogenic methane (CH4) point sources are critical drivers of near-term climate forcing, safety hazards, and system inefficiencies. Global tracking with imaging spectroscopy is just becoming feasible, but still largely relies on manual tracking. Here we present the Methane Analysis and Plume Localization with EMIT (MAPL-EMIT) model, an end-to-end vision transformer framework that advances the state of the practice by directly utilizing the complete radiance spectrum from the Earth Surface Mineral Dust Source Investigation (EMIT) instrument to jointly retrieve methane enhancements across all pixels within a scene. This approach joins spectral information content - where the methane signature resides - with essential spatial context to significantly lower detection limits. MAPL-EMIT simultaneously supports quantification, plume delineation, and source localization, even for multiple overlapping plumes. The model was trained on 3.6 million physics-based synthetic plumes injected into global EMIT radiance data. Evaluation against synthetic observations confirms the model’s ability to identify plumes with high recall and precision and to capture weaker plumes relative to existing matched-filter approaches. On real-world benchmarks, MAPL-EMIT captures 79% of known hand-annotated NASA L2B plume complexes across a test set of 1084 EMIT granules, while identifying twice as many plausible plumes than identified by human analysts. Further validation against coincident airborne data, top-emitting landfills, and controlled release experiments confirms the models efficacy at identifying previously uncaptured sources. By incorporating model-generated metrics such as spectral fit scores and estimated noise levels, the framework can further limit false-positive rates. Overall, MAPL-EMIT enables high-throughput implementation on the full EMIT data catalog, shifting methane monitoring from labor-intensive workflows to a rapid, scalable paradigm for facility-level accountability.