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Christopher Semturs

Christopher Semturs

Christopher is a tech lead manager at Google Health, working on projects to improve Health Outcomes, advancing research in Generative AI, Large Language Models, and Medical Imaging.

Born and raised in Austria, Christopher earned his MS in computer science at Technical University of Vienna. He joined Google in 2007 in the Zurich, Switzerland, office, and then moved to the United States in 2018 to join Google Health, where his team of engineers explores technology solutions for improving access to healthcare and healthcare information. <[>His work at Google Health allows him to be a part of the journey toward healthcare equity for all populations.

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    Towards Generalist Biomedical AI
    Andrew Carroll
    Basil Mustafa
    Bradley Green
    Chuck Lau
    Danny Driess
    Ewa Dominowska
    Ira Ktena
    Joelle Barral
    Philip Mansfield
    Renee Wong
    Ryutaro Tanno
    Sara Mahdavi
    Simon Kornblith
    Sunny Virmani
    Sushant Prakash
    arxiv (2023)
    Preview abstract Medicine is inherently multimodal, with data spanning rich modalities including text, imaging, medical records, genomics, and more. Generalist biomedical AI systems that can flexibly encode, interpret, and integrate such data at scale can potentially enable impactful applications spanning care delivery and fundamental scientific discovery. We first curate MultiMedBench, a new multimodal biomedical benchmark to enable the development of such generalist models. MultiMedBench spans 14 diverse tasks including medical question answering, mammography and dermatology image interpretation, chest x-ray report generation and summarization and genomics variant calling. We then introduce Med-PaLM M (multimodal) - our proof of concept for such a generalist biomedical AI system. Med-PaLM M, built on top of PaLM-E, a large multimodal language model, flexibly encodes and interprets biomedical data spanning clinical language, medical imaging and genomics and can competently perform a diverse array of tasks with the same set of model weights. Med-PaLM M reaches performance near or exceeding the state-of-the-art (SOTA) on all tasks in MultiMedBench often beating task-specific narrow models by a wide margin. In addition, we also show qualitative examples of zero-shot learning, cross-task transfer learning and generalization with Med-PaLM M. In order to further probe the capabilities and limitations of Med-PaLM M, we propose an expert radiologist evaluation framework to characterize the quality of the chest x-ray radiology reports generated by the models. Under this framework, we observe encouraging quality of reports across model scales although remaining inferior to expert clinicians. Overall, while there are still several key limitations, we believe these results represent an important milestone towards the development of generalist biomedical AI systems. View details
    Large Language Models Encode Clinical Knowledge
    Sara Mahdavi
    Jason Wei
    Hyung Won Chung
    Nathan Scales
    Ajay Tanwani
    Heather Cole-Lewis
    Perry Payne
    Martin Seneviratne
    Paul Gamble
    Abubakr Abdelrazig Hassan Babiker
    Nathanael Schaerli
    Philip Mansfield
    Dina Demner-Fushman
    Katherine Chou
    Juraj Gottweis
    Nenad Tomašev
    Alvin Rajkomar
    Joelle Barral
    Nature (2023)
    Preview abstract Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities, but the bar for clinical applications is high. Attempts to assess the clinical knowledge of models typically rely on automated evaluations based on limited benchmarks. Here, to address these limitations, we present MultiMedQA, a benchmark combining six existing medical question answering datasets spanning professional medicine, research and consumer queries and a new dataset of medical questions searched online, HealthSearchQA. We propose a human evaluation framework for model answers along multiple axes including factuality, comprehension, reasoning, possible harm and bias. In addition, we evaluate Pathways Language Model1 (PaLM, a 540-billion parameter LLM) and its instruction-tuned variant, Flan-PaLM2 on MultiMedQA. Using a combination of prompting strategies, Flan-PaLM achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on every MultiMedQA multiple-choice dataset (MedQA3, MedMCQA4, PubMedQA5 and Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding (MMLU) clinical topics6), including 67.6% accuracy on MedQA (US Medical Licensing Exam-style questions), surpassing the prior state of the art by more than 17%. However, human evaluation reveals key gaps. To resolve this, we introduce instruction prompt tuning, a parameter-efficient approach for aligning LLMs to new domains using a few exemplars. The resulting model, Med-PaLM, performs encouragingly, but remains inferior to clinicians. We show that comprehension, knowledge recall and reasoning improve with model scale and instruction prompt tuning, suggesting the potential utility of LLMs in medicine. Our human evaluations reveal limitations of today’s models, reinforcing the importance of both evaluation frameworks and method development in creating safe, helpful LLMs for clinical applications. View details
    Discovering novel systemic biomarkers in external eye photos
    Ilana Traynis
    Christina Chen
    Akib Uddin
    Jorge Cuadros
    Lauren P. Daskivich
    April Y. Maa
    Ramasamy Kim
    Eugene Yu-Chuan Kang
    Lily Peng
    Avinash Varadarajan
    The Lancet Digital Health (2023)
    Preview abstract Background Photographs of the external eye were recently shown to reveal signs of diabetic retinal disease and elevated glycated haemoglobin. This study aimed to test the hypothesis that external eye photographs contain information about additional systemic medical conditions. Methods We developed a deep learning system (DLS) that takes external eye photographs as input and predicts systemic parameters, such as those related to the liver (albumin, aspartate aminotransferase [AST]); kidney (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio [ACR]); bone or mineral (calcium); thyroid (thyroid stimulating hormone); and blood (haemoglobin, white blood cells [WBC], platelets). This DLS was trained using 123 130 images from 38 398 patients with diabetes undergoing diabetic eye screening in 11 sites across Los Angeles county, CA, USA. Evaluation focused on nine prespecified systemic parameters and leveraged three validation sets (A, B, C) spanning 25 510 patients with and without diabetes undergoing eye screening in three independent sites in Los Angeles county, CA, and the greater Atlanta area, GA, USA. We compared performance against baseline models incorporating available clinicodemographic variables (eg, age, sex, race and ethnicity, years with diabetes). Findings Relative to the baseline, the DLS achieved statistically significant superior performance at detecting AST >36.0 U/L, calcium <8.6 mg/dL, eGFR <60.0 mL/min/1.73 m2, haemoglobin <11.0 g/dL, platelets <150.0 × 103/μL, ACR ≥300 mg/g, and WBC <4.0 × 103/μL on validation set A (a population resembling the development datasets), with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the DLS exceeding that of the baseline by 5.3–19.9% (absolute differences in AUC). On validation sets B and C, with substantial patient population differences compared with the development datasets, the DLS outperformed the baseline for ACR ≥300.0 mg/g and haemoglobin <11.0 g/dL by 7.3–13.2%. Interpretation We found further evidence that external eye photographs contain biomarkers spanning multiple organ systems. Such biomarkers could enable accessible and non-invasive screening of disease. Further work is needed to understand the translational implications. View details
    Preview abstract AI models have shown promise in performing many medical imaging tasks. However, our ability to explain what signals these models learn from the training data is severely lacking. Explanations are needed in order to increase the trust of doctors in AI-based models, especially in domains where AI prediction capabilities surpass those of humans. Moreover, such explanations could enable novel scientific discovery by uncovering signals in the data that aren’t yet known to experts. In this paper, we present a method for automatic visual explanations that can help achieve these goals by generating hypotheses of what visual signals in the images are correlated with the task. We propose the following 4 steps: (i) Train a classifier to perform a given task to assess whether the imagery indeed contains signals relevant to the task; (ii) Train a StyleGAN-based image generator with an architecture that enables guidance by the classifier (“StylEx”); (iii) Automatically detect and extract the top visual attributes that the classifier is sensitive to. Each of these attributes can then be independently modified for a set of images to generate counterfactual visualizations of those attributes (i.e. what that image would look like with the attribute increased or decreased); (iv) Present the discovered attributes and corresponding counterfactual visualizations to a multidisciplinary panel of experts to formulate hypotheses for the underlying mechanisms with consideration to social and structural determinants of health (e.g. whether the attributes correspond to known patho-physiological or socio-cultural phenomena, or could be novel discoveries) and stimulate future research. To demonstrate the broad applicability of our approach, we demonstrate results on eight prediction tasks across three medical imaging modalities – retinal fundus photographs, external eye photographs, and chest radiographs. We showcase examples where many of the automatically-learned attributes clearly capture clinically known features (e.g., types of cataract, enlarged heart), and demonstrate automatically-learned confounders that arise from factors beyond physiological mechanisms (e.g., chest X-ray underexposure is correlated with the classifier predicting abnormality, and eye makeup is correlated with the classifier predicting low hemoglobin levels). We further show that our method reveals a number of physiologically plausible novel attributes for future investigation (e.g., differences in the fundus associated with self-reported sex, which were previously unknown). While our approach is not able to discern causal pathways, the ability to generate hypotheses from the attribute visualizations has the potential to enable researchers to better understand, improve their assessment, and extract new knowledge from AI-based models. Importantly, we highlight that attributes generated by our framework can capture phenomena beyond physiology or pathophysiology, reflecting the real world nature of healthcare delivery and socio-cultural factors, and hence multidisciplinary perspectives are critical in these investigations. Finally, we release code to enable researchers to train their own StylEx models and analyze their predictive tasks of interest, and use the methodology presented in this paper for responsible interpretation of the revealed attributes. View details
    Longitudinal Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Nationwide Screening Program: Comparing Deep Learning and Human Graders
    Jirawut Limwattanayingyong
    Variya Nganthavee
    Kasem Seresirikachorn
    Tassapol Singalavanija
    Ngamphol Soonthornworasiri
    Varis Ruamviboonsuk
    Chetan Rao
    Rajiv Raman
    Andrzej Grzybowski
    Lily Hao Yi Peng
    Fred Hersch
    Richa Tiwari, PhD
    Dr. Paisan Raumviboonsuk
    Journal of Diabetes Research (2020)
    Preview abstract Objective. To evaluate diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening via deep learning (DL) and trained human graders (HG) in a longitudinal cohort, as case spectrum shifts based on treatment referral and new-onset DR. Methods. We randomly selected patients with diabetes screened twice, two years apart within a nationwide screening program. The reference standard was established via adjudication by retina specialists. Each patient’s color fundus photographs were graded, and a patient was considered as having sight-threatening DR (STDR) if the worse eye had severe nonproliferative DR, proliferative DR, or diabetic macular edema. We compared DR screening via two modalities: DL and HG. For each modality, we simulated treatment referral by excluding patients with detected STDR from the second screening using that modality. Results. There were 5,738 patients (12.3% STDR) in the first screening. DL and HG captured different numbers of STDR cases, and after simulated referral and excluding ungradable cases, 4,148 and 4,263 patients remained in the second screening, respectively. The STDR prevalence at the second screening was 5.1% and 6.8% for DL- and HG-based screening, respectively. Along with the prevalence decrease, the sensitivity for both modalities decreased from the first to the second screening (DL: from 95% to 90%, p=0.008; HG: from 74% to 57%, p<0.001). At both the first and second screenings, the rate of false negatives for the DL was a fifth that of HG (0.5-0.6% vs. 2.9-3.2%). Conclusion. On 2-year longitudinal follow-up of a DR screening cohort, STDR prevalence decreased for both DL- and HG-based screening. Follow-up screenings in longitudinal DR screening can be more difficult and induce lower sensitivity for both DL and HG, though the false negative rate was substantially lower for DL. Our data may be useful for health-economics analyses of longitudinal screening settings. View details
    Preview abstract Purpose To develop and validate a deep learning (DL) algorithm that predicts referable glaucomatous optic neuropathy (GON) and optic nerve head (ONH) features from color fundus images, to determine the relative importance of these features in referral decisions by glaucoma specialists (GSs) and the algorithm, and to compare the performance of the algorithm with eye care providers. Design Development and validation of an algorithm. Participants Fundus images from screening programs, studies, and a glaucoma clinic. Methods A DL algorithm was trained using a retrospective dataset of 86 618 images, assessed for glaucomatous ONH features and referable GON (defined as ONH appearance worrisome enough to justify referral for comprehensive examination) by 43 graders. The algorithm was validated using 3 datasets: dataset A (1205 images, 1 image/patient; 18.1% referable), images adjudicated by panels of GSs; dataset B (9642 images, 1 image/patient; 9.2% referable), images from a diabetic teleretinal screening program; and dataset C (346 images, 1 image/patient; 81.7% referable), images from a glaucoma clinic. Main Outcome Measures The algorithm was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity for referable GON and glaucomatous ONH features. Results The algorithm’s AUC for referable GON was 0.945 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.929–0.960) in dataset A, 0.855 (95% CI, 0.841–0.870) in dataset B, and 0.881 (95% CI, 0.838–0.918) in dataset C. Algorithm AUCs ranged between 0.661 and 0.973 for glaucomatous ONH features. The algorithm showed significantly higher sensitivity than 7 of 10 graders not involved in determining the reference standard, including 2 of 3 GSs, and showed higher specificity than 3 graders (including 1 GS), while remaining comparable to others. For both GSs and the algorithm, the most crucial features related to referable GON were: presence of vertical cup-to-disc ratio of 0.7 or more, neuroretinal rim notching, retinal nerve fiber layer defect, and bared circumlinear vessels. Conclusions A DL algorithm trained on fundus images alone can detect referable GON with higher sensitivity than and comparable specificity to eye care providers. The algorithm maintained good performance on an independent dataset with diagnoses based on a full glaucoma workup. View details
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